Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian state and territory elections since 1990
Victorian Election Archive:
Victorian elections since 1843
Psephos: Adam Carr's Election Archive
Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
List of seats in pendulum order
See these seats in
alphabetical order
Very safe Labor (over 16%)
Dandenong (Labor over Liberal 19.1%)
Laverton (Labor over Liberal 18.0%)
Kalkallo (Labor over Liberal 16.4%)
Lara (Labor over Liberal 16.1%)
Thomastown (Labor over Liberal 16.0%)
Safe Labor (12-16%)
Broadmeadows (Labor over Liberal 15.4%)
Geelong (Labor over Liberal 14.7%)
Bendigo West (Labor over Liberal 14.4%)
Kororoit (Labor over Liberal 14.3%)
Oakleigh (Labor over Liberal 13.5%)
Wendouree (Labor over Liberal 13.5%)
Williamstown (Labor over Liberal 13.4%)
Ivanhoe (Labor over Liberal 12.8%)
Bundoora (Labor over Liberal 12.7%)
Tarneit (Labor over Liberal 12.6%)
Essendon (Labor over Liberal 12.5%)
Fairly safe Labor (8-12%)
Mill Park (Labor over Liberal 11.4%)
Albert Park (Labor over Liberal 11.2%)
Bendigo East (Labor over Liberal 10.9%)
Werribee (Labor over Liberal 10.5%)
Clarinda (Labor over Liberal 10.4%)
Mulgrave (Labor over Liberal 10.2%)
South Barwon (Labor over Liberal 9.8%)
Carrum (Labor over Liberal 9.9%)
St Albans (Labor over Liberal 9.6%)
Macedon (Labor over Liberal 9.5%)
Narre Warren North (Labor over Liberal 9.2%)
Cranbourne (Labor over Liberal 9.0%)
Eltham (Labor over Liberal 9.0%)
Frankston (Labor over Liberal 8.7%)
Sydenham (Labor over Liberal 8.7%)
Bellarine (Labor over Liberal 8.5%)
Narre Warren South (Labor over Liberal 8.5%)
Point Cook (Labor over Liberal 8.3%)
Mordialloc (Labor over Liberal 8.2%)
Swing needed for Liberal-National majority: 8.0%
Bentleigh (Labor over Liberal 8.0%)
Marginal Labor (4-8%)
Monbulk (Labor over Liberal 7.5%)
Ringwood (Labor over Greens 7.5%)
Box Hill (Labor over Liberal 7.2%)
Eureka (Labor over Liberal 7.2%)
Greenvale (Labor over Liberal 6.9%)
Niddrie (Labor over Liberal 6.7%)
Sunbury (Labor over Liberal 6.4%)
Ashwood (Labor over Liberal 6.1%)
Bayswater (Labor over Liberal 4.6%)
Melton (Labor over Liberal 4.6%)
Yan Yean (Labor over Liberal 4.5%)
Very marginal Labor (below 4%)
Glen Waverley (Labor over Liberal 3.3%)
Ripon (Labor over Greens 3.0%)
Hastings (Labor over Liberal 1.4%)
Pakenham (Labor over Liberal 0.4%)
Bass (Labor over Liberal 0.2%)
Very marginal Liberal/National (below 4%)
Croydon (Liberal over Labor 1.4%)
Hawthorn (Liberal over Labor 1.7%)
Polwarth (Liberal over Labor 1.8%)
Caulfield (Liberal over Labor 2.1%)
Rowville (Liberal over Labor 3.7%)
Marginal Liberal/National (4-8%)
Kew (Liberal over Labor 4.0%)
Brighton (Liberal over Labor 4.2%)
Warrandyte (Liberal over Labor 4.2%)
Morwell (Nationals over Labor 4.4%)
Berwick (Liberal over Labor 4.7%)
Sandringham (Liberal over Labor 5.1%)
Evelyn (Liberal over Labor 5.2%)
Bulleen (Liberal over Labor 5.9%)
Nepean (Liberal over Labor 6.7%)
Eildon (Liberal over Labor 7.1%)
Fairly safe Liberal/National (8-12%)
South-West Coast (Liberal over Labor 8.0%)
Malvern (Liberal over Labor 8.3%)
Euroa (Nationals over Labor 9.9%)
Safe Liberal/National (12-16%)
Narracan (Liberal over Labor 12.7%)
Gippsland South (Nationals over Labor 15.3%)
Very safe Liberal/National (over 16%)
Ovens Valley (Nationals over Labor 18.0%)
Lowan (Nationals over Labor 21.6%)
Murray Plains (Nationals over Labor 22.9%)
Gippsland East (Nationals over Labor 23.9%)
Non-two-party seats
Benambra (Liberal over Independent 0.9%)
Brunswick (Greens over Labor 13.5%)
Footscray (Labor over Greens 4.2%)
Melbourne (Greens over Labor 10.2%)
Mildura (Nationals over Independent 1.2%)
Mornington (Liberal over Independent 0.7%)
Northcote (Labor over Greens 0.2%)
Pascoe Vale (Labor over Greens 2.0%)
Prahran (Greens over Liberal 12.0%)
Preston (Labor over Greens 2.1%)
Richmond (Greens over Labor 7.2%)
Shepparton (Nationals over Independent 6.8%)
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