Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Bayswater District

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Location: Bayswater, Ferntree Gully, Wantirna
Legislative Council: North-Eastern Metropolitan Region
Enrolment 2022 election: 49,707
Enrolment November 2025: 50,596

Sitting member: Jackson Taylor (Labor): Elected 2018, 2022. Retiring 2026

2018 Labor majority over Liberal: 00.4%
2021 redistricting: Liberal over Labor 00.6%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 04.2%

Status: Marginal Labor

Bayswater was created in 1992, replacing the previous seat of Ringwood (there is now a new seat of Ringwood adjoining Bayswater). It is a uniformly middle-class seat, taking in a string of suburbs along the Mountain Highway, from Wantira in the west to The Basin at the foot of the Dandenongs. Like all the eastern suburban seats, it is attracting increasing numbers of Chinese and other Asian immigrants.

Bayswater was held by the Liberal Party until the Bracks Labor landslide election of 2002. Peter Lockwood, who won the seat at that election, was defeated in 2006 by Heidi Victoria, who has held it fairly comfortably in 2010 and 2014. In 2018 she was narrowly defeated by Jackson Taylor, a police officer and Knox City councillor. The 2021 redistricting gave the seat a notional Liberal majority, but Taylor easily retained the seat - a result emblematic of the Liberal Party's declining support in the eastern suburbs.

Taylor is retiring at the 2026 election. He clearly has a substantial personal vote, so despite its 4.2% margin the seat will be at risk for Labor if there is any swing to the Liberals in the easters suburbs.

  • 2022 results

  • Boundaries following
    2021 redistricting

  • See full-size map

  • Candidates:

    No candidates have been announced.

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