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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Morwell District
Location: Moe, Morwell, Traralgon
Legislative Council:
Eastern Victoria Region
Enrolment 2022 election: 53,782
Enrolment June 2026: 54,849 (up 2.0%)
Relevant demographics (2021 census)
High income: 14.3% (Aust average 22.6%)
Renting: 24.1% (Aust average 30.6%)
Paying a mortgage: 35.0% (Aust average 35.0%)
Couples with children: 30.0% (Aust average 43.7%)
Born overseas: 12.5% (Aust average 27.7%)
No religion: 48.3% (Aust average 38.9%)
University graduate: 13.2% (Aust average 26.3%)
Professional / managerial: 26.6% (Aust average 37.7%)
Sitting member: Martin Cameron (Nationals): Elected 2022
2018 Independent majority over Labor: 01.8%
2021 redistricting: Labor majority over Nationals: 04.0%
2022 Nationals majority over Labor: 04.4%
Status: Marginal Nationals
Morwell was created in 1955, replacing the old seat of Gippsland North. For its first 15 years it was a largely rural seat and safely Liberal. But the rapid indstrialisation of the Latrobe Valley led to a growing working-class vote in Moe and Morwell, leading to a period of Labor domination. The decline of the coal and power generation industries since the 1990s has seen these towns lose population, and the once solid working-class Labor vote has dissipated.
Labor first won Morwell in 1970, and four successive Labor members held it until the last, Brendan Jenkins, was defeated in 2006. His defeat was partly due to demographic factors, partly to factional disputes in the local Labor Party, and partly due to an unpopular decision by the Bracks government to divert some of the Latrobe Valley's water to Melbourne. Labor lost the neighbouring seat of Narracan at the same time, for the same reasons. The new Nationals MLA, Russell Northe, gained a large swing towards him in 2010, but lost most of it when the seat swung back to Labor in 2014.
Northe was appointed a parliamentary secretary in 2010 and a minister in 2014. After the 2014 election defeat he was appointed to the opposition frontbench. Northe resigned from the frontbench and from the Nationals in August 2017, revealing that he had substantial gambling debts. He then sat as an independent. He retained the seat in 2018 but retired in 2022.
The 2021 redistricting removed several rural areas dfrom the seat and gave it a notional Labor majority, but at the 2022 election it was retained for the Nationals. Recent members: Val Callister (Labor) 1981-88, Keith Hamilton (Labor) 1988-2002, Brendan Jenkins (Labor) 2002-06, Russell Northe (Nationals) 2006-22, Martin Cameron (Nationals) from 2022.
2022 results
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Boundaries following
2021 redistricting |
See full-size map
Candidates:
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Martin Cameron
The Nationals |
Rochelle Hine
Australian Greens |
Tracie Lund
Australian Labor Party |
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