|
|
|
|
| Adam Carr's Election Archive
|
Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Carrum District
Location: Carrum, Patterson Lakes, Seaford
Legislative Council:
South-Eastern Metropolitan Region
Enrolment 2022 election: 51,265
Enrolment June 2026: 54,087 (up 05.5%)
Relevant demographics (2021 census)
High income: 19.9% (Aust average 22.6%)
Renting: 25.4% (Aust average 30.6%)
Paying a mortgage: 43.0% (Aust average 35.0%)
Couples with children: 58.0% (Aust average 43.7%)
Born overseas: 23.6% (Aust average 27.7%)
No religion: 48.1% (Aust average 38.9%)
University graduate: 19.7% (Aust average 26.3%)
Professional / managerial: 31.6% (Aust average 37.7%)
Sitting member: Hon Sonya Kilkenny (Labor): Elected 2014, 2018, 2022
Born 15 May 1969, Sydney. Educated University of New South Wales, University of Melbourne. Lawyer. Lawyer for Kimberley Land Council, Australian Children's Television Foundation. Corporate legal officer. Parliamentary Secretary 2018-22. Minister for Planning and for Outdoor Recreation 2022-24. Attorney-General, Minister for Planning, Minister for Violence Reduction from 2024.
Status: Fairly safe Labor
2018 Labor majority over Liberal: 12.0%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 09.9%
Carrum was created in 1976, taking in the lower bayside suburbs between Frankston and Mentone. Subsequent redistrictings have pushed it further south and extended it inland, to take in growth areas such as Carrum Downs and Patterson Lakes. Overall a fairly affluent area, it has a mix of low income areas around Seaford and Carrum, along with wealthy developments such as Patterson Lakes.
Carrum was won for Labor in 1976 by Ian Cathie, who went on to be a minister in the Cain government. The Liberals won it in 1996, but lost it back to Labor in 1999. Jenny Lindell held the seat from 1999 to 2010, and was the first woman to be Speaker of the Legislative Assembly. She was defeated in 2010 by Donna Bauer, who also only held it for one term, before losing very narrowly to Labor's Sonya Kilkenny in 2014.
Members: Ian Cathie (Labor) 1976-88, Mal Sandon (Labor) 1988-96, David Lean (Liberal) 1996-99, Jenny Lindell (Labor) 1999-2010, Donna Bauer (Liberal) 2010-14, Sonya Kilkenny (Labor) since 2014. In July 2026 Kilkenny put herself forward as a candidate to succeed Jacinta Allan, but was dissuaded from contesting a leadership ballot.
The Liberal candidate is Jeff Shelley, "an executive contracting and consulting professional."
The Greens candidate is Zoe Pegrum, a hospitality worker.
The One Nation candidate is Joshua Mathews, whose occupation is not stated.
2022 results
 |
Boundaries following
2021 redistricting |
See full-size map
Candidates:
 |
|
 |
 |
Reema Ababneh
Vic Socialists |
Hon Sonya Kilkenny
Australian Labor Party |
Joshua Mathews
One Nation |
Carolyn Moore
Animal Justice Party |
 |
 |
Zoe Pegrum
Australian Greens |
Jeff Shelley
Liberal Party |
Candidate websites
Reema Ababneh (Vic Socialists)
Sonya Kilkenny (Labor)
Joshua Mathews (One Nation)
Carolyn Moore (Animal Justice)
Zoe Pegrum (Greens)
Jeff Shelley (Liberal)
Back to main page
|
|