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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Nepean District
Location: Flinders, Rosebud, Sorrento
Legislative Council:
Eastern Victoria Region
Enrolment 2022 election: 48,944
Enrolment June 2026: 51,507 (up 5.2%)
Relevant demographics (2021 census)
Over 65: 32.2% (Aust average 17.2%)
High income: 16.8% (Aust average 22.6%)
Renting: 20.8% (Aust average 30.6%)
Paying a mortgage: 28.0% (Aust average 35.0%)
Couples with children: 46.0% (Aust average 43.7%)
Born overseas: 15.8% (Aust average 27.7%)
No religion: 47.5% (Aust average 38.9%)
University graduate: 20.9% (Aust average 26.3%)
Professional / managerial: 36.2% (Aust average 37.7%)
Sitting member: Anthony Marsh (Liberal): Elected 2026 by-election
2018 Labor majority over Liberal: 00.9%
2022 Liberal majority over Labor: 06.7%
2026 by-election Liberal majority over Independent: 13.2%
Status: Marginal Liberal
Nepean was created in 2002, when the old seat of Dromana was renamed. The southern part of the Mornington Peninsula is a popular tourism and retirement centre. Nepean has the highest proportion of over 65s in the state. Like Dromana, Nepean has usually been a reliably Liberal seat, but Labor unexpectedly won it in the 2018 Andrews landslide. In 2022 it returned to its usual Liberal loyalty. Members: Martin Dixon (Liberal) 1996-2018, Chris Brayne (Labor) 2018-22, Sam Groth (Liberal) since 2022. Groth was Deputy Leader of the Liberal Party but resigned suddenly in 2026. He was succeeded at the by-election by Anthony Marsh.
2022 results
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Boundaries following
2021 redistricting |
See full-size map
Candidates:
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Sianan Healy
Australian Greens |
Darren Hercus
One Nation |
Anthony Marsh
Liberal Party |
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