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Adam Carr's Election Archive

Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Mulgrave District

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Location: Dandenong North, Mulgrave, Springvale
Legislative Council: South-Eastern Metropolitan Region

Enrolment 2022 election: 47,029
Enrolment June 2026: 47,571 (up 01.2%)

Relevant demographics (2021 census)
High income: 21.0% (Aust average 22.6%)
Renting: 25.1% (Aust average 30.6%)
Paying a mortgage: 32.0% (Aust average 35.0%)
Couples with children: 61.0% (Aust average 43.7%)
Born overseas: 50.7% (Aust average 27.7%)
Born in China: 6.8% (Aust average 2.3%)
Born in India: 6.3% (Aust average 2.8%)
Chinese speakers: 12.7% (Aust average 3.9%)
Vietnamese speakers: 5.7% (Aust average 1.3%)
Greek speakers: 5.1% (Aust average 1.0%)
No religion: 27.2% (Aust average 38.9%)
Buddhism: 9.0% (Aust average 2.4%)
Islam: 6.0% (Aust average 3.2%)
University graduate: 30.4% (Aust average 26.3%)
Professional / managerial: 36.5% (Aust average 37.7%)


Sitting member: Eden Foster (Labor): Elected 2023 by

2018 Labor majority over Liberal: 12.7%
2021 redistricting: Labor majority over Liberal: 15.8%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 10.2%
2023 by-election Labor majority over Independent: 06.5%

Status: Fairly safe Labor

Mulgrave was created in 1958, at that time covering much of the outer eastern suburbs of Melbourne. In 1967 it was partitioned between Scorebsy and Syndal. In reappeared in 2002 when Dandenong North was abolished. The 2014 redistricting shifted it northwards into Wheelers Hill. The seat is now sharply polarised between working-class Noble Park and Springvale in the south and affluent Brandon Park and Wheelers Hill in the north. It has the high level of young families paying off mortgages typical of outer suburban seats.

Dandenong North was always a Labor seat, even in the Kennett landslide of 1992. John Lenders won it in 1999, but when it was renamed Mulgrave in 2002 he transferred to the Legislative Council, and the seat was inherited by Daniel Andrews. The 2014 redistricting made the seat much weaker for him, but he had no difficulty retaining it.

Andrews was ALP Assistant State Secretary before being elected for Mulgrave. He was a minister from 2006, and was Minister for Health in the Brumby government. After Labor's defeat in 2010, he was elected Leader of the Opposition. He led Labor back to government in 2014. He went on to win election in 2018 and 2022, making him one of Victorian Labor's most successful leaders. On his resignation, the November 2023 by-election was won by Eden Foster, the Mayor of Greater Dandenong.

  • 2022 results
  • Boundaries following
    2021 redistricting

  • See full-size map

  • Candidates:
    Connor Buchanan
    Victorian Socialists
    Eden Foster
    Australian Labor Party
    Charles Tran
    Liberal Party

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