Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Shepparton District

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Location: Nathalia, Numurkah, Shepparton
Legislative Council: Northern Victoria Region
Enrolment 2022 election: 50,994
Enrolment June 2026: 52,097 (up 2.2%)

Relevant demographics (2021 census)
High income: 13.3% (Aust average 22.6%)
Renting: 27.2% (Aust average 30.6%)
Paying a mortgage: 33.0% (Aust average 35.0%)
Couples with children: 55.0% (Aust average 43.7%)
Born overseas: 16.5% (Aust average 27.7%)
No religion: 35.6% (Aust average 38.9%)
Islam: 6.0% (Aust average 3.2%)
University graduate: 14.4% (Aust average 26.3%)
Professional / managerial: 31.4% (Aust average 37.7%)
Works in Agriculture: 8.8% (Aust average 1.0%)


Sitting member: Kim O'Keeffe (Nationals): Elected 2024. Retiring 2026

2018 Independent majority over Nationals: 05.3%
2022 Nationals majority over Independent: 06.8%

Status: Very safe Nationals versus Labor, vulnerable to independent

Shepparton was created in 1945, the town of Shepparton having previously been part of the Goulburn Valley seat. In 1955 it was abolished by being absorbed into the seat of Murray Valley, but in 1967 it reappeared. The seat now runs north from Shepparton to the Murray, taking in Mooroopna, Nathalia and Numurkah. Like all country seats, it has a very low proportion of people born overseas, of graduates and of high-income households.

Regardless of what seat Shepparton has been in, it has been an important regional centre in northern Victoria since the 19th century. The Goulburn Valley is one of Victoria's richest agricultural areas. It was one of the earliest strongholds of the Country Party, and was represented by the party's state leader, Sir John McDonald from 1936 to 1955.

Peter Ross-Edwards was elected for the revived Shepparton in 1967 and was leader of the Country Party (now called the Nationals) from 1970 to 1988. He was succeeded by two more Nationals members, until the shock loss of the seat to an independent at the 2014 election.

Suzanna Sheed was a family law lawyer in Shepparton before her election. She polled less than a third of the vote at that election, but scooped up most of the preferences from Labor, the Greens and minor candidates. She was re-elected in 2018, but in 2022 was defeated by the Nationals candidate, Kim O'Keeffe, the Mayor of Greater Shepparton.

Recent members: Peter Ross-Edwards (Country / Nationals) 1967-91, Don Kilgour 1991-2002 (Nationals), Jeanette Powell (Nationals) 2002-14, Suzanna Sheed (Independent) 2014-22, Kim O'Keeffe (Nationals) since 2022. In July O'Keefe announced that shwe would not stand again.

  • 2022 results
  • Boundaries following
    2021 redistricting

  • See full-size map

  • Candidates:
    Cayla Fin
    Australian Labor Party
    Grace Verney
    Australian Greens

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