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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Glen Waverley District
Location: Glen Waverley, Vermont, Wheelers Hill
Legislative Council:
North-Eastern Metropolitan Region
Enrolment 2022 election: 50,818
Enrolment November 2025: 50,203
Sitting member: John Mullahy (Labor): Elected 2022
2018 Liberal notional over Labor 00.9%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 03.3%
Status: Very marginal Labor
Glen Waverley was created by the 2021 redistricting, being composed of the eastern parts of two abolished seats, Forest Hill and Mount Waverley. These are affluent middle-class areas where most people are home-owners: once reliable Liberal voters. Labor's strength in the seat is based on the suburb of Glen Waverley, while the Liberals are stongest in the northern part of the seat around Vermont South. This area now has a large and increasing Chinese-Australian community, whose votes heavily favour Labor.
There was an earlier seat of Glen Waverley from 1985 to 2002. This area, like the rest of the eastern suburbs, used to be firmly Liberal, but has drifted towards Labor in recent years. Labor never won the old Glen Waverley, but both Forest Hill and Mount Waverley became increasingly marginal. In the 2002 Bracks landslide, Labor's Kirstie Marshall won Forest Hill, and Maxine Morand won Mount Waverley. Both were defeated along with the Brumby government in 2010. Neil Angus won Forest Hill and Michael Gidley won Mount Waverley. In 2018 Gidley was defeated by Labor's Matt Fregon, while Angus's majority in Forest Hill was cut to 1.2%.
At the 2022 election, Angus contested Glen Waverley, while Fregon moved west to the new seat of Ashwood. The new Glen Waverley had a notional Liberal majority of only 0.8%, so it was no great surprise when Angus was defeated by Labor's John Mullahy, who had been Fregon's electorate officer, and before that Chief Financial Officer of an IT and telecommunications firm. Nevertheless, the loss of what would once have been a safe Liberal seat was an indicator of the decline of the Liberal dominance of the eastern suburbs. The Labor majority is now 3.3%, well within reach if there is any swing to the Liberals in 2026
2022 results
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Boundaries following
2021 redistricting |
See full-size map
Candidates:
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John Mullahy
Australian Labor Party |
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