Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Rowville District

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Location: Knoxfield, Lysterfield, Rowville
Legislative Council: South-Eastern Metropolitan Region

Enrolment 2022 election: 49,738
Enrolment June 2026: 50,227 (up 1.0%)

Relevant demographics (2021 census)
High income: 30.6% (Aust average 22.6%)
Renting: 15.3% (Aust average 30.6%)
Paying a mortgage: 45.0% (Aust average 35.0%)
Couples with children: 67.0% (Aust average 43.7%)
Born overseas: 33.1% (Aust average 27.7%)
Chinese speakers: 9.1% (Aust average 3.9%)
No religion: 37.1% (Aust average 38.9%)
Buddhism: 5.0% (Aust average 2.4%)
University graduate: 27.7% (Aust average 26.3%)
Professional / managerial: 36.9% (Aust average 37.7%)


Sitting member: Hon Kim Wells (Liberal): Elected 1992, 1996, 1999 (Wantirna), 2002, 2006 (Scoresby), 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022 (Rowville). Retiring 2026

Born 6 August 1958, Leongatha. Educated Victoria University. Accountant. Treasurer 2010-13.

Status: Very marginal Liberal

2018 Liberal majority over Labor: 05.7%
2021 redistricting: Liberal majority over Labor 05.4%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 03.7%

Rowville was created in 2014, when the seat of Wantirna was renamed. Wanirna in turn replaced Scoresby in 1976: these changes reflected the rapid population growth in the south-eastern suburbs. This is an affluent area with a high proportion of young familes paying off mortgages. Under all its names the seat was always fairly safe for the Liberals, although Labor won Wantirna in 1985. Kim Wells has held all three seats in succession, and is now the longest-serving member of the Assembly. He will retire in 2026. Although the seat is classed as "very marginal" based on the 2022 figures, in the current political climate it seems quite safe for the Liberal Party.

  • The Labor candidate is Dr Muhammad Shahbaz, a general practitioner.
  • The new Liberal candidate is Max Williams, owner of "a boutique communications consultancy."
  • The Greens candidate is Dave Massey, whose occupation is not stated.

  • 2022 results
  • Boundaries following
    2021 redistricting

  • See full-size map

  • Candidates:
    Lars Hiemstra
    Victorian Socialists
    Dave Massey
    Australian Greens
    Dr Muhammad Shahbaz
    Australian Labor Party
    Max Williams
    Liberal Party

    Candidate websites
  • Lars Hiemstra (Vic Socialists)
  • Dave Massey (Greens)
  • Dr Muhammad Shahbaz (Labor)
  • Max Williams (Liberal)

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