Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Rowville District

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Location: Knoxfield, Lysterfield, Rowville
Legislative Council: South-Eastern Metropolitan Region

Enrolment 2022 election: 49,738
Enrolment June 2026: 50,227 (up 1.0%)

Relevant demographics (2021 census)
High income: 30.6% (Aust average 22.6%)
Renting: 15.3% (Aust average 30.6%)
Paying a mortgage: 45.0% (Aust average 35.0%)
Couples with children: 67.0% (Aust average 43.7%)
Born overseas: 33.1% (Aust average 27.7%)
Chinese speakers: 9.1% (Aust average 3.9%)
No religion: 37.1% (Aust average 38.9%)
Buddhism: 5.0% (Aust average 2.4%)
University graduate: 27.7% (Aust average 26.3%)
Professional / managerial: 36.9% (Aust average 37.7%)


Sitting member: Hon Kim Wells (Liberal): Elected 1992, 1996, 1999 (Wantirna), 2002, 2006 (Scoresby), 2010, 2014, 2018, 2022 (Rowville). Retiring 2026

2018 Liberal majority over Labor: 05.7%
2021 redistricting: Liberal majority over Labor 05.4%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 03.7%

Status: Very marginal Liberal

Rowville was created in 2014, when the seat of Wantirna was renamed. Wanirna in turn replaced Scoresby in 1976: these changes reflected the rapid population growth in the south-eastern suburbs. This is an affluent area with a high proportion of young familes paying off mortgages. Under all its names the seat was always fairly safe for the Liberals, although Labor won Wantirna in 1985. Kim Wells has held all three seats in succession, and is now the longest-serving member of the Assembly. He was Treasurer in the Baillieu government from 2010 to 2013. He will retire in 2026.

  • 2022 results
  • Boundaries following
    2021 redistricting

  • See full-size map

  • Candidates:
    Lars Hiemstra
    Victorian Socialists
    Muhammad Shahbaz
    Australian Labor Party
    Max Williams
    Liberal Party

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