Adam Carr's Election Archive

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Victorian state election, 28 November 2026
Bellarine District

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Location: Barwon Heads, Leopold, St Leonards
Legislative Council: Western Victoria Region

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Enrolment 2022 election: 55,022
Enrolment June 2026: 59,036 (up 07.3%)

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Relevant demographics (2021 census)

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Over 65: 27.4% (Aust average 17.2%)
High income: 19.1% (Aust average 22.6%)
Renting: 18.1% (Aust average 30.6%)
Paying a mortgage: 34.0% (Aust average 35.0%)
Couples with children: 52.0% (Aust average 43.7%)
Born overseas: 13.4% (Aust average 27.7%)
No religion: 46.1% (Aust average 38.9%)
University graduate: 23.9% (Aust average 26.3%)
Professional / managerial: 36.3% (Aust average 37.7%)

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Sitting member: Alison Marchant (Labor): Elected 2024

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2018 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.5%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 8.5%

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Status: Fairly safe Labor

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Bellarine was created in 1967, based on the Bellarine Peninsula east of Geelong. It was renamed Geelong East in 1976, then reverted to the name Bellarine in 1985. It is a mixture of outer Geelong suburbs, most notably the growth centre of Leopold, the farming areas of the peninsula, and tourist centres such as Barwon Heads, Ocean Grove and Queenscliff. It has some of the characteristics of a country district: it is monocultural, with low numbers of renters and graduates.

Bellarine / East Geelong has always been a marginal seat, usually held by the government of the day. It was held by Graham Ernst (Labor) from 1979 to 1992, by Garry Spry (Liberal) from 1992 to 2002, and by Labor's Lisa Neville from 2002 until her retirement in 2022. The 2014 redistibution made the seat notionally Liberal, but Neville retained it at the 2014 election with a 7.3% swing in her favour. The seat has become stonger for Labor in recent years.

Alison Marchant, who easily retained Bellarine in 2022, is a former primary teacher and staffer for Corio MP and Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles.

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2022 results

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Boundaries following 2021 redistricting

See full-size map

Candidates:

Alison Marchant Australian Labor Party	Callum Whitehead Liberal Party	Dom Williams Socialist Alliance

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Candidate websites

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Alison Marchant (Labor)

Callum Whitehead (Liberal)

Dom Williams (Socialist Alliance)

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