Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Psephos: Adam Carr's Election Archive
Victorian state election, 24 November 2018

List of seats in pendulum order

See these seats in alphabetical order



Very safe Labor

  • Thomastown (Labor over Liberal 28.5%)
  • Broadmeadows (Labor over Liberal 27.8%)
  • Preston (Labor over Liberal 22.0%)
  • Kororoit (Labor over Liberal 20.0%)
  • Mill Park (Labor over Liberal 20.0%)
  • Yuroke (Labor over Liberal 18.5%)
  • St Albans (Labor over Liberal 17.5%)
  • Lara (Labor over Liberal 17.0%)
  • Pascoe Vale (Labor over Liberal 16.5%)
  • Sydenham (Labor over Liberal 16.5%)
  • Williamstown (Labor over Liberal 16.5%)

  • Safe Labor

  • Werribee (Labor over Liberal 15.5%)
  • Footscray (Labor over Liberal 14.5%)
  • Tarneit (Labor over Liberal 14.5%)
  • Clarinda (Labor over Liberal 13.9%)
  • Dandenong (Labor over Liberal 12.9%)
  • Altona (Labor over Liberal 12.6%)
  • Bundoora (Labor over Liberal 12.2%)
  • Keysborough (Labor over Liberal 12.0%)

  • Fairly safe Labor

  • Bendigo West (Labor over Liberal 11.4%)
  • Melton (Labor over Liberal 11.0%)
  • Essendon (Labor over Liberal 8.7%)
  • Oakleigh (Labor over Liberal 8.2%)

  • Marginal Labor

  • Niddrie (Labor over Liberal 7.7%)
  • Buninyong (Labor over Liberal 6.4%)
  • Geelong (Labor over Liberal 6.0%)
  • Narre Warren South (Labor over Liberal 5.5%)
  • Wendouree (Labor over Liberal 5.8%)
  • Bendigo East (Labor over Liberal 5.0%)
  • Monbulk (Labor over Liberal 5.0%)
  • Bellarine (Labor over Liberal 4.8%)
  • Narre Warren North (Labor over Liberal 4.6%)
  • Mulgrave (Labor over Liberal 4.5%)
  • Sunbury (Labor over Liberal 4.3%)

  • Very marginal Labor

  • Macedon (Labor over Liberal 3.8%)
  • Yan Yean (Labor over Liberal 3.7%)
  • Ivanhoe (Labor over Liberal 3.4%)
  • Swing needed for Liberal-National majority: 3.0%


  • Albert Park (Labor over Liberal 3.0%)
  • Eltham (Labor over Liberal 2.7%)
  • Cranbourne (Labor over Liberal 2.3%)
  • Mordialloc (Labor over Liberal 2.1%)
  • Bentleigh (Labor over Liberal 0.8%)
  • Carrum (Labor over Liberal 0.7%)
  • Frankston (Labor over Liberal 0.5%)



  • Very marginal Liberal/National

  • Ripon (Liberal over Labor 0.7%)
  • Morwell (Nationals over Labor 1.8%)
  • South Barwon (Liberal over Labor 2.9%)
  • Burwood (Liberal over Labor 3.2%)

  • Marginal Liberal/National

  • Eildon (Liberal over Labor 4.0%)
  • Mount Waverley (Liberal over Labor 4.5%)
  • Bass (Liberal over Labor 4.6%)
  • Bayswater (Liberal over Labor 4.6%)
  • Forest Hill (Liberal over Labor 5.0%)
  • Ringwood (Liberal over Labor 5.0%)
  • Caulfield (Liberal over Labor 6.0%)
  • Box Hill (Liberal over Labor 6.4%)
  • Sandringham (Liberal over Labor 7.0%)
  • Nepean (Liberal over Labor 7.5%)
  • Hastings (Liberal over Labor 7.7%)
  • Ferntree Gully (Liberal over Labor 7.8%)

  • Fairly safe Liberal/National

  • Rowville (Liberal over Labor 8.0%)
  • Hawthorn (Liberal over Labor 8.6%)
  • Gembrook (Liberal over Labor 9.0%)
  • Croydon (Liberal over Labor 9.3%)
  • Evelyn (Liberal over Labor 9.6%)
  • Benambra (Liberal over Labor 9.7%)
  • Brighton (Liberal over Labor 9.8%)
  • Bulleen (Liberal over Labor 10.5%)
  • Polwarth (Liberal over Labor 10.5%)
  • Kew (Liberal over Labor 11.0%)
  • South-West Coast (Liberal over Labor 11.0%)
  • Narracan (Liberal over Labor 11.5%)
  • Warrandyte (Liberal over Labor 11.5%)

  • Safe Liberal/National

  • Mornington (Liberal over Labor 12.6%)
  • Euroa (Nationals over Labor 14.5%)
  • Gippsland South (Nationals over Labor 15.7%)

  • Very safe Liberal/National

  • Malvern (Liberal over Labor 16.3%)
  • Ovens Valley (Nationals over Labor 16.5%)
  • Gippsland East (Nationals over Labor 17.8%)
  • Lowan (Nationals over Labor 21.3%)
  • Murray Plains (Nationals over Labor 22.5%)

  • Non-two-party seats

  • Brunswick (Labor over Greens 2.2%)
  • Melbourne (Greens over Labor 2.4%)
  • Mildura (Nationals over Independent 8.0%)
  • Northcote (Labor over Greens 6.0%)
  • Prahran (Greens over Liberal 0.4%)
  • Richmond (Labor over Greens 1.9%)
  • Shepparton (Independent over Nationals 2.6%)

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