Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Senate election, Victoria

(See NSW / Qld / WA / SA / Tas / ACT / NT)

Senators up for election in 2019:

  • Senator Raff Ciccone (Labor)
  • Senator Derryn Hinch (Derryn Hinch Justice Party)
  • Senator Jane Hume (Liberal)
  • Senator Gavin Marshall (Labor)
  • Senator James Paterson (Liberal)
  • Senator Janet Rice (Greens)
  • Senators serving until 2022:

  • Senator Hon Kim Carr (Labor)
  • Senator Richard Di Natale (Greens)
  • Senator Hon Mitch Fifield (Liberal)
  • Senator Kimberley Kitching (Labor)
  • Senator Hon Bridget McKenzie (Nationals)
  • Senator Hon Scott Ryan (Liberal)
  • Comment:

    At the 2016 election, the Coalition polled 2.31 half-Senate quotas, while Labor polled 2.15 half-Senate quotas. The Coalition and Labor will therefore most likely win two seats each. The Greens polled 0.76 half-Senate quotas. Victoria is now the Greens' strongest state apart from Tasmania, and Senator Janet Rice seems likely to be re-elected, unless the Greens' vote collapses - in which case Labor could win three seats, as they last did in 2007.

    The Liberal ticket in Victoria was unresolved until September, when new Prime Minister Morrison intervened to ensure that Senators James Paterson and Jane Hume (both relative moderates, and both first-term Senators) would head the ticket. This headed off possible challenges from right-wing candidates including Karina Okotel, who was number six on the 2016 Coalition ticket.

    On the Labor side, the Right's Senator Jacinta Collins was selected to head the ticket, but in February she resigned to become head of the National Catholic Education Commission. Her successor is Raff Ciccone, an official of the Shop, Distributive and Allied Employees' Association (SDA). The Left's Senator Gavin Marshall has been demoted to third - the second spot will go to Jess Walsh of United Voice (left). Marshall will only be re-elected if the Greens fail to win a seat, which seems unlikely.

    Senator Derryn Hinch polled 0.43 half-Senate quotas in 2016. If he runs again (he is 74) his personal brand may well be strong enough for him to win on Coalition preferences. If not, his seat will probably go to the Coalition. The most likely result is therefore two Coalition, two Labor, one Green and Senator Hinch, a result which would mean no overall change. The most likely variation on that is Hinch losing to the Coalition. One Nation and the other far-right parties have little support in Victoria.

    Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    Group A: Liberal Party, The Nationals
    Senator James Patterson
    Liberal Party
    Senator Jane Hume
    Liberal Party
    David Van
    Liberal Party
    Anita Rank
    The Nationals
    Kyle Hoppitt
    Liberal Party
    Julian Mulcahy
    Liberal Party

    Group B: Republican Party of Australia
    Geoff Lutz Peter Consandine

    Group C: Socialist Equality Party
    Tessa Pietsch Jason Wardle

    Group D: The Small Business Party
    Simon Kemp Peter Graham

    Group E: Christian Democratic Party
    Bob Payne Kevin Murphy

    Group F: United Australia Party
    Catriona Thoolen Katie O'Connor Roger McKay

    Group G: Shooters, Fishers and Farmers
    Ricky Muir Damian Stock

    Group H: Climate Action! Immigration Action! Accountable Politicians!
    Philip Ayton Monika Kompara

    Group I: Derryn Hinch's Justice Party
    Senator Derryn Hinch Simone O'Brien

    Group J: Help End Marijuana Prohibition
    Frances Hood Heather Gladman

    Group K: Citizens Electoral Council
    Craig Isherwood Gabrielle Peut

    Group L: Australian Democrats
    David Collyer Marc Williams

    Group M: Independents for Climate Action Now
    Paul Wittwer Kammy Cordner Hunt

    Group N: Liberal Democrats
    Robert Kennedy Kirsty O'Sullivan

    Group O: Secular Party of Australia
    Harris Sultan John Perkins

    Group P: Labour DLP
    Jennifer Bowden Chris McCormack Kathryn Breakwell

    Group Q: Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    James Hallam Ian Cameron

    Group R: Pirate Party
    Tania Briese Shannaon Smith

    Group S: VOTEFLUX.ORG | Upgrade Democracy!
    Dustin Perry Seb Carrie-Wilson

    Group T: Australian Workers Party
    Narelle Everard Kevin Gaynor

    Group U: Animal Justice Party
    Ben Schultz Fiona McRostie

    Group V: Australian Greens
    Senator Janet Rice Apsara Sabaratnam Claire Proctor Nakita Thompson
    Alice Barnes Judy Cameron

    Group W: Rise Up Australia
    Rosalie Crestani Daniel Nalliah

    Group X: Australian Labor Party
    Senator Raff Ciccone Jess Walsh Senator Gavin Marshall Parvinder Sarwara
    Karen Douglas Louise Crawford

    Group Y: Sustainable Australia
    Allan Doensen Madeleine Wearne

    Group Z: Independent
    Sunny Chandra Robert Whitehill

    Group AA: Fraser Anning's Conservative National Party
    Bruce Stevens Rita Mazalevskis Benjamin Williamson

    Group AB: Australian Conservatives
    Kevin Bailey Nina Van Strijp Trent Thomas

    Group AC: The Great Australian Party
    Darryl O'Bryan Helen Edwards

    Group AD: Health Australia Party
    Isaac Golden Andrew Hicks

    Group AE: Yellow Vest Australia
    Siobhann Brown Terri Franklin

    Ungrouped
    Kenneth Betts Max Dicks Murray McInnis Karl Morris

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