Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Senate election, New South Wales

(See Vic / Qld / WA / SA / Tas / ACT / NT)

Senators up for election in 2019:

  • Senator Brian Burston (United Australia Party) (elected as One Nation)
  • Senator Hon Doug Cameron (Labor)
  • Senator Mehreen Faruqi (Greens)
  • Senator Jim Molan AO DSC (Liberal)
  • Senator Duncan Spender (Liberal Democrat)
  • Senator John Williams (Nationals)
  • Senators serving until 2022:

  • Senator Hon Concetta Fierravanti-Wells (Liberal)
  • Senator Hon Kristina Keneally (Labor)
  • Senator Jenny McAllister (Labor)
  • Senator Deborah O'Neill (Labor)
  • Senator Hon Marise Payne (Liberal)
  • Senator Hon Arthur Sinodinos AO (Liberal)
  • Comment:

    At the 2016 election, the Coalition won 2.51 half-Senate quotas, while Labor won 2.19 half-Senate quotas. It therefore seems almost certain that the Coalition and Labor will each win two seats, which would represent a gain for Labor. The Greens polled 0.52 half-Senate quotas, and Senator Lee Rhiannon might well have been defeated if 2016 had been a half-Senate election. She resigned in August 2018 and was succeeded by NSW MLC Mehreen Faruqi. Unless Faruqi improves on the Greens' 2016 vote, she is in serious danger of defeat. If she does badly, Labor could win three seats, as last happened in 2007.

    Nationals Senator John "Wacka" Williams (who was diagnosed with Parkinson's in 2017) has retired at this election. The Nationals have chosen Perin Davey, chair of Regional Development Australia - Murray, as his replacement. The Liberal ticket will be headed by disability advocate Holly Hughes (who has twice missed election before) and Andrew Bragg, head of the Menzies Research Centre Enterprise Policy Institute. Senator Jim Molan, who replaced the Nationals' Fiona Nash when she fell foul of section 44, has been relegated to fourth spot on the Coalition ticket. This was a defeat for the party's conservative faction.

    On the Labor side, Senator Doug Cameron, a stalwart of the Left, who is the only Labor Senator facing re-election, has retired. Tony Sheldon of the TWU (right) will head the ticket, with AMWU state secretary Tim Ayres (left) in second spot also likely to be elected. In the winnable third spot is Jason Yat-sen Li.

    On the far right, Senator David Leyonhjelm (LDP) quit in February to contest the NSW state election. He was replaced by a member of his staff, Duncan Spender. Spender will compete with Brian Burston (ex-One Nation) and One Nation's candidate Kate McCulloch for the sixth spot. One Nation and the LDP polled 0.51 half-Senate quotas between them in 2016, so it seems likely that only them can be elected, and possibly neither. The Coalition can only win three seats if all the far-right parties lose. The most likely result is therefore one Labor gain at the expense of the far right. But a second Labor gain, at the expense of the Greens, is also possible, as is a Coalition gain from the far right.

    Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    Group A: Rise Up Australia
    Maree Nichols Vladimir Shigrov

    Group B: Help End Marijuana Prohibition
    Dr Andrew Katelaris Michael Balderstone

    Group C: Health Australia Party
    Molly Knight Jason Fairbairn

    Group D: Liberal Party, The Nationals
    Holly Hughes
    Liberal Party
    Andrew Bragg
    Liberal Party
    Perin Davey
    The Nationals
    Senator Jim Molan
    Liberal Party
    Sam Farraway
    The Nationals
    Dr Michael Feneley
    Liberal Party

    Group E: Pirate Party
    John August Sara Joyce

    Group F: Affordable Housing Party
    Andrew Potts Anthony Ziebell

    Group G: Australian Greens
    Senator Mehreen Faruqi Rachael Jacobs Louise Steer Phillippa Clark
    Roz Chia Sylvie Ellsmore

    Group H: Shooters, Fishers and Farmers
    Brett Cooke Wayne Borsak

    Group I: Australian People's Party
    Steven Georgantis Susan Tsangaris

    Group J: Australian Labor Party
    Tony Sheldon Tim Ayres Jason Yat-Sen Li Simonne Pengelly
    Aruna Chandrala Charlie Sheahan

    Group K: Socialist Alliance
    Susan Price Joel McAlear

    Group L: The Together Party
    Mark Swivel Belinda Kinkead Kate McDowell

    Group M: Australian Conservatives
    Sophie York Riccardo Bosi

    Group N: Great Australian Party
    Matthew Hopkins Karen Burge

    Group O: Fraser Anning's Conservative National Party
    Carolyn Thomson Gary Young Paul Swann Ian Wharton

    Group P: Christian Democratic Party
    Silvana Nile Annie Wright

    Group Q: Independents for Climate Action Now
    Rod Bower Jim Tait Annette Schneider

    Group R: Liberal Democrats
    Senator Duncan Spender Codie Neville

    Group S: Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    Kate McCulloch Barry Reed

    Group T: The Women's Party
    Divvi De Vendre Penelope Lloyd

    Group U: Seniors United Party of Australia
    Paul Gerantonis Helen Ducker

    Group V: Socialist Equality Party
    Richard Phillips John Davis

    Group: W: Australian Workers Party
    Mark Ptolemy Maria Nguyen

    Group X: Australian Better Families
    Jewell Drury Peter Moujalli

    Group Y: Involuntary Medication Objectors (Vaccination/Fluoride) Party
    Michael O'Neill Marelle Burnum Burnum

    Group Z: United Australia Party
    Senator Brian Burston Christine Bernier Wayne Moore

    Group AA: Democratic Labour Party
    Daniel Hanna Benedict O'Brien

    Group AB: Climate Action! Immigration Action! Accountable Politicians!
    Nick Debenham Guy Forsyth

    Group AC: Animal Justice Party
    Angela Pollard Michael Dello-Iacovo Carol Bellenger

    Group AD: VOTEFLUX.ORG | Upgrade Democracy!
    Ben Rushton Joanne Cotterill

    Group AE: Science Party
    Dr Andrea Leong Eva Slavich Peter Furness Greg Parker

    Group AF: Citizens Electoral Council
    Ann Lawler Robert Butler

    Group AG: Sustainable Australia
    William Bourke Warren Grzic

    Group AH: Australian Democrats
    Peter Mailler Chris Buckham

    Group AI: The Small Business Party
    Angela Vithoulkas Fiona Douskou

    Ungrouped
    John Carmichael Chifley Haddad Phil Baker Graeme Doyle John Romanous
    Hussein Faraj Russell Barber Sandra Lazarus Glenn Wagner David O'Brien
    Wayne Bell Michael Kirkwood Pamela Johnstone Carolyn Crossman

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