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Australian federal election, 2 July 2016
Senate election, Tasmania
(See
NSW /
Vic /
Qld /
WA /
SA /
ACT /
NT)
Senators up for election in 2019:
Senator Catryna Bilyk (Labor)
Senator Carol Brown (Labor)
Senator Hon Richard Colbeck (Liberal)
Senator Nick McKim (Greens)
Senator Steve Martin (elected as Jacquie Lambie Network, now Nationals)
Senator Hon Lisa Singh (Labor)
Senators serving until 2022:
Senator Hon Eric Abetz (Liberal)
Senator Wendy Askew (Liberal)
Senator Jonathon Duniam (Liberal)
Senator Helen Polley (Labor)
Senator Anne Urquhart (Labor)
Senator Peter Whish-Wilson (Greens)
Comment:
At the 2016 election the Liberals polled 2.27 half-Senate quotas, while Labor polled 2.35 - their best result in the
country. This will ensure that both the Liberals and Labor win two seats. But since Labor has three Senators up for
election and the Liberals only one, that means that Labor is likely to lose a seat to the Liberals. Labor can only
retain its three seats if it can defeat the Greens. In Bob Brown’s day Tasmania was the Greens' strongest state, but
they polled poorly at the state election and may struggle to retain their seat.
Labor chose its ticket in early September, and as expected it will be headed by Senators Carol Brown (left) and Catryna Bilyk (right), with
AMWU official John Short (left) in third place. Senator Lisa Singh (unaligned, but well to the left) has been demoted to fourth place.
In 2016 Singh bucked the Labor ticket to get re-elected from sixth place, leapfrogging Short in
fifth place. This time she will again draw a personal vote, but a quota of 14.3% will be much harder to reach.
The Liberal ticket will be headed by Senator Richard Colbeck, a moderate, who is the only sitting Liberal up for election.
In 2016 he was dumped to fifth spot and defeated, but returned
when Senator Stephen Parry was knocked out over citizenship. It was thought that the dominant conservative faction (led by Senator Eric
Abetz) would try to dump him again, but his promotion by new Prime Minister Scott Morrison was a warning to the
conservatives not to attempt this. Responding to criticism in 2016 that no women were on their Senate ticket, the Liberals chose Young
Libeeral President Claire Chandler and Hobart City Council member Tanya Denison in second and third place.
The Greens polled 0.78 half-Senate quotas in 2016, their strongest result in the country, which should be enough to
ensure Senator Nick McKim's re-election. But they polled poorly in Braddon and at the state election, and since Bob Brown's
day have lost some their appeal to Tasmanian voters.
Former Senator Jacquie Lambie intends recontesting the seat she won in 2013 and 2016 - when she polled 0.58
half-Senate quotas - but then lost over her citizenship. Although her party also polled poorly at the state election, her
personal brand is probably strong enough to get her elected, at the expense of her successor Senator Steve Martin, who
has joined the Nationals.
The most likely result therefore appears to be two Liberals, two Labor, one Green and Jacquie Lambie, although it
certainly possible that either the Liberals or Labor will win three seats at the expense of one of the cross-bench
Senators.
Senator David Bushby (Liberal) resigned in January 2019. He was replaced by Wendy Askew (his sister).
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
Group A: Australian Conservatives
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| Justin Stringer |
Nigel Frame |
Group B: The Nationals
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| Senator Steve Martin |
Wendy Hilditch |
Group C: Sustainable Australia
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| Todd Dudley |
Christopher Maclay |
Group D: Australian Greens
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| Senator Nick McKim |
Helen Hutchinson |
Simone Marsh |
Group E: Liberal Party
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| Senator Hon Richard Colbeck |
Claire Chandler |
Tanya Denison |
Group F: Animal Justice Party
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| Karen Bevis |
Isobel Turner |
Group G: Citizens Electoral Council
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| Ray Williams |
Steve Kucina |
Group H: Liberal Democrats
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| Clinton Meade |
Matthew Rabey |
Group I: Australian Labor Party
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| Senator Carol Brown |
Senator Catryna Bilyk |
John Short |
Senator Hon Lisa Singh |
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| Wayne Roberts |
Robert Flanagan |
Group J: Pauline Hanson's One Nation
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| Matthew Stephen |
Adam Lambert |
Group K: Fraser Anning's Conservative National Party
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| Michael Jones |
Frank Falzon |
Group L: Jacquie Lambie Network
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| Jacquie Lambie |
Glynn Williams |
Chris Reynolds |
Group M: Help End Marijuana Prohibition
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| Alfred Informal |
Matt Owen |
Group N: United Australia Party
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| Kevin Morgan |
David Williams |
Craig Gunnis |
Group O: Independent
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| Craig Garland |
Mark Duncan |
Group P: Shooters, Fishers and Farmers
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| Rebecca Byfield |
Kim Swanson |
Ungrouped
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| Greg Beck |
Steve Mav |
Francis Flannery |
Karen Street |
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