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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Jagajaga, Victoria
North-eastern Melbourne: Diamond Creek, Greensborough, Heidelberg, Ivanhoe, Montmorency
State seats: All of
Ivanhoe, parts of
Bundoora,
Eltham and
Yan Yean
Local government areas: All of Banyule, parts of Manningham and Nillumbik
Enrolment at close of rolls: 107,575
1999 republic referendum: Yes 56.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 73.5
Sitting member: Hon Jenny Macklin (Labor):
Elected 1996, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016. Retiring 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 9.0%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.5%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.1%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 4.7%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 5.0%
Status: Marginal Labor
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
1. Maria Rigoni
United Australia Party |
2. Kate Thwaites
Australian Labor Party |
3. Jeff Truscott
Rise Up Australia |
4. Richard Welch
Liberal Party |
5. Paul Kennedy
Australian Greens |
Candidate websites:
Paul Kennedy
Kate Thwaites
Richard Welch
Division of Jagajaga
Jagajaga was created in 1984, as the western and more working-class half of the old seat of Diamond Valley,
which was one of the most hotly-contested marginal seats of the 1970s. Overall, Jagajaga has a relatively
high level of median family income, but this conceals social disparities greater than in most electorates. The
seat contains both wealthy areas around Ivanhoe and Eaglemont, and some very low-income and deprived areas in
Heidelberg. For an urban Labor-held seat, it has a fairly low proportion of non English speaking households
and a high proportion of people in professional and managerial occupations.
Jagajaga has always been a Labor seat, although the Liberals came close to winning it in 1990. Jagajaga has had
only two members. Peter Staples, who had previously been member for Diamond Valley, held it from 1984 to 1996,
and was a minister in the Hawke-Keating Government. He retired in 1996.
Jenny Macklin, Labor MP for Jagajaga since 1996, is a leading figure in the Socialist Left faction, and has been
continuously on the Labor front bench since her election, mostly in social policy areas. She was Deputy Labor Leader
2001-06 and was Families, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs minister throughout the Rudd-Gillard Government.
She is retiring at this election.
Her successor as Labor candidate in Jagajaga is Kate Thwaites, formerly a senior staffer to Macklin, and more
recently Director of Strategic Communications, Media and Public Policy at the Victorian Department of Health
and Human Services. Given the loss of Macklin's personal vote, the seat's 5.0% majority on its new boundaries is
not a large one.
The Liberal candidate is Richard Welch, a businessman. The Greens candidate is Paul Kennedy, a management consultant.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,757 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 16.5% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 73.4% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Italian 6.6%
Non-English-speaking households: 22.3% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 25.6% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 37.0% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 32.7% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 45.0% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 22.8% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 37.1% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 22.6% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 37.8% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Peter Staples (ALP) 1984-96
Hon Jenny Macklin (ALP) 1996-2019
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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