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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Burt, Western Australia
Named for: Burt family, distinguished WA family including Sir Archibald Burt (1810-1879), first Chief Justice of WA, and Sir Francis Burt (1918-2004), Chief Justice of WA, Governor of WA.
South-eastern Perth: Armadale, Oakford, Southern River, Thornlie
Enrolment at 2019 election: 105,236
Enrolment at 2022 election: 112,918 (+07.4)
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 57.0
2023 Voice referendum: No 66.6
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Sitting member:
Hon Matt Keogh (Labor): Elected 2016, 2019, 2022
Minister for Defence Personnel
Minister for Veterans' Affairs
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2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.1%
2019 Labor majority over Liberal: 5.0%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 15.2%
2025 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 13.1%
Status 2022: Safe Labor
Labor two-party vote 2016-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Sean Ayres
Liberal Party |
Hon Matt Keogh
Australian Labor Party |
Division of Burt
Burt was created in 2016, from parts of the Liberal-held seats of
Canning,
Hasluck,
Swan and
Tangney. It
consists of mostly middle-class suburbs in south-eastern Perth, centred on Armidale, Gosnells, Southern River and
Thornlie, with a few adjoining semi-rural areas.
Burt is a classic mortgage-belt seat, with more than 50% of households paying a mortgage, and more than 40% being traditional
families with dependent children. It has a fairly low level of university graduates and of people in professional and
managerial employment, and a higher than average level of non English-speaking households, with significant Chinese and
Muslim minorities.
At its creation Burt had a Liberal majority of 6.1%. But this was misleading because it was based on the strong
personal vote of
Don Randall, MP for Canning until his death in 2015. The seat was believed to be more marginal than it looked, and this proved to be correct.
Matt Keogh, Labor MP for Burt since 2016, is a lawyer and former president of the Law Society of WA. He contested the
2015 Canning by-election and gained a swing of 6.5%. In 2016 in Burt he gained a giant 13.2% swing to gain a Labor majority of 7.1%, and in 2022 he gained a further large swing. He now Minister for Defence Personnel and Minister for Veterans' Affairs.
The 2024 redistribution has moved the seat southwards, shedding Kelmscott and Orange Grove while gaining Byford and Oakford from Canning. This has slightly cut the Labor majority. The 2022 election saw large swings to Labor in all the Western Australian seats. This was largely due to state issues, particularly arising from the COVID pandemic. This means that the Labor majority in Burt is probably over-stated. The Liberal candidate in 2025 will be Sean Ayres, a lawyer.
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