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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Lilley, Queensland
Named for: Hon Sir Charles Lilley (1827-97), Qld MP 1860-74, Premier
1868-70
Northside Brisbane: Aspley, Boondall, Brighton, Chermside, Nundah
State seats: All of
Nudgee, parts of
Aspley,
Clayfield,
Everton,
Sandgate and
Stafford
Local government areas: Parts of
Brisbane
Borders with:
Brisbane,
Dickson,
Petrie and
Ryan
Enrolment at 2019 election: 108,615
Enrolment at 2022 election: 112,391 (+03.5)
1999 republic referendum: No 56.4
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 67.7
Sitting member:
Anika Wells (Labor): Elected 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 8.6%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.2%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.3%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 5.3%
2019 Labor majority over Liberal: 0.6%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Very marginal Labor
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Zillmere North (66.9), Chermside North (64.7), Nudgee West (61.7),
Nundah East (59.2), Northgate (58.9)
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: McDowell South (67.0), Albany Creek PPVC (64.9), Kalinga (58.0),
Everton Hills PPVC (57.3), Chermside PPVC (55.2)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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 |
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1. Gerardine Hoogland
United Australia Party |
2. Melissa Stevens
Australian Greens |
3. Vivian Lobo
Liberal Party |
4. Dr Stephen McGrath
Informed Medical Options |
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 |
 |
5. Daniel Freshwater
Liberal Democrats |
6.Anika Wells
Australian Labor Party |
7.Michelle Wilde
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
Candidate websites:
Mike Crook
Daniel Freshwater
Gerardine Hoogland
Vivian Lobo
Dr Stephen McGrath
Melissa Stevens
Anika Wells
Michelle Wilde
Division of Lilley
Lilley has existed since 1913, and was originally a rural seat north of Brisbane, based on Gympie. Since 1949
it has been confined to a block of suburbs on Brisbane's northside, based on the Labor strongholds of Nudgee and
Sandgate, but including areas of Liberal strength around Aspley and Nundah. The seat has a stable, ageing population
of mainly low-to-middle income earners, with a very low level of families with dependent children. Since 1949
Lilley has always been a marginal seat, but as with most inner suburban seats, it is gradually improving for Labor.
The Liberals won it in 1996 but lost it again in 1998, and have been unable to regain it despite their gains in
Queensland in 2010, 2013 and 2019.
Wayne Swan won the seat in 1993, lost it in 1996 and won it back in 1998. He was Treasurer in the Rudd-Gillard
Government and Deputy Prime Minister under
Julia Gillard. He resigned in 2013 rather than serve under
Kevin Rudd and retired
at the 2019 election.
Anika Wells, Labor MP for Lilley since 2019, was a lawyer with Maurice Blackburn, a leading Labor law firm, before
entering politics. With the loss of Swan's personal vote, there was a substantial swing to the Liberals in 2019.
Although Wells will have had three years to establish herself by 2022, if Labor's position in Queensland
does not improve, this seat could still be won by the Liberals.
The original Liberal candidate Ryan Shaw, withdrew in February for personal reasons. The new Liberal candidate is
Vivian Lobo, a PhD student at Torrens University. The Greens candidate is Melissa Stevens, who works in
in medical research and pharmaceutical manufacturing.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,609 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 15.2% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 2.1% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 71.1% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 16.8% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 28.2% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 28.9% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 25.7% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 37.3% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 20.2% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 33.3% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 35.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 30.3% (Australia 32.8%)
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