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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Leichhardt, Queensland
Named for: Ludwig Leichhardt (1813-48), explorer of Queensland
North Queensland: Bayview Heights, Cairns, Cooktown, Mossman, Trinity Beach
State seats: All of
Barron River and
Cairns, parts of
Cook
Local government areas: All of
Aurukun,
Cook,
Douglas,
Hope Vale,
Kowanyama,
Mapoon,
Napranum,
Northern Peninsula,
Pormpuraaw,
Torres,
Torres Strait Islands,
Weipa and
Wujal Wujal, parts of
Cairns,
Carpentaria and
Mareeba
Borders with:
Kennedy
Enrolment at 2019 election: 109,455
Enrolment at 2022 election: 117,262 (+07.1)
1999 republic referendum: No 59.0
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 63.4
Sitting member: Hon Warren Entsch (Liberal):
Elected 1996, 1998, 2001, 2004. Retired 2007. Elected 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 4.0%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 4.5%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.7%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 4.0%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 4.2%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Cooktown PPVC (62.9), Port Douglas PPVC (62.2), Miallo (61.8),
Clifton Beach (61.4), Trinity Park (61.0)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Aurukun (79.3), Tamwoy (76.8), Bamaga (67.3), Napranum (65.6),
Lockhart River (65.4)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Pat O'Shane
Socialist Alliance |
2. Silvia Mogorovich
Informed Medical Options |
3. Hon Warren Entsch
Liberal Party |
4. Rod Jensen
Katter's Australian Party |
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5. Adam Cropp
Fusion Party |
6. Susanne Bayly
Animal Justice Party |
7. Phillip Musumeci
Australian Greens |
8. Daniel Hannagan
United Australia Party |
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9. Geena Court
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
10. Paul Roe
Australian Federation Party |
11. Elida Faith
Australian Labor Party |
Candidate websites:
Susanne Bayly
Geena Court
Adam Cropp
Hon Warren Entsch
Elida Faith
Daniel Hannagan
Rod Jensen
Silvia Mogorovich
Phillip Musumeci
Pat O'Shane
Paul Roe
Division of Leichhardt
Leichhardt was created in 1949 and its boundaries have changed very little since - it consists of the fast-
growing tourist centre of Cairns and the remote communities of Cape York as far north as Torres Strait.
The tourist boom has given the seat a higher level of median family income than most regional seats,
though it still has a low level of people non English speaking households and people in professional
and managerial occupations. It has the seccond-highest level of people working in tourism of any seat, and also the
third-highest proportion of people of Indigenous origin.
For most of its history Leichhardt was a fairly safe Labor seat, dominated by the pastoral workforce and
the Australian Workers Union, but the decline of the rural working class and the growth of Cairns as a
service centre have changed the seat's demography and politics, and the Liberals have held it with
one interruption since 1996. Labor retains some strength in Cairns, but its strongest support now comes
from the Indigenous communities of Cape York. The Liberals dominate the coastal areas around Cairns,
although Labor has won all the state seats in this area at the last three state elections.
Warren Entsch, Liberal MP for Leichhardt from 1996 to 2007 and again since 2010, is a colourful and
unpredictable character who has built up a large personal vote. Before entering politics he was a crocodile
farmer and property developer. He was a Parliamentary Secretary in the Howard Government. When he retired in
2007, the seat went to Labor's
Jim Turnour, but in 2010 Entsch made a comeback and has easily retained the seat since.
He was Chief Opposition Whip from 2010 to 2013. After the 2019 election, Entsch said that this would be his last term, but he
has now changed his mind and will recontest the seat in 2022, when he will be 72.
Despite Entsch's long tenure, Leichhardt is still a marginal seat, and is now Labor's best prospect of a gain in
regional Queensland, given its decline in seats like Capricornia and Herbert. The tourism industry has been hit
hard by the COVID pandemic, but it is not clear what the political effect of this will be.
Labor's candidate is again Elida Faith, a public servant with the Department of Human Services and a local
office-holder in the Community and Public Sector Union. The Greens candidate is Phillip Musumeci, an engineer and
lecturer.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,314 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 12.1% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 16.6% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 81.9% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 17.9% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 20.1% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 30.8% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 15.8% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 30.7% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 18.3% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: 2.0% (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 30.1% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 43.0% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 28.2% (Australia 32.8%)
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