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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Lindsay, New South Wales
Named for: Sir Norman Lindsay (1879-1969), painter and novelist
Outer western Sydney: Emu Plains, Glenmore Park, Penrith, St Marys, Werrington
State seats: Parts of
Londonderry,
Mount Druitt and
Penrith
Local government areas: Parts of Penrith
Borders with:
Chifley,
Hume,
McMahon,
Macquarie and
Werriwa
Enrolment at 2019 election: 118,801
Enrolment at 2022 election: 124,727 (+05.0)
1999 republic referendum: No 58.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 56.2
Sitting member: Melissa McIntosh (Liberal):
Elected 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 6.8%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.1%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.0%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.1%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.0%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Mulgoa (81.2), Orchard Hills (76.7), Castlereagh (76.3),
Berkshire Park (74.4), Londonderry (68.7)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: St Marys (61.6), Penrith East (60.5), Colyton West (60.3),
St Marys North (59.4), Kingswood (56.6)
Colyton (57.6)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Trevor Ross
Australian Labor Party |
2. Pieter Morssink
Australian Greens |
3. Max Jago
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
4. Joseph O'Connor
United Australia Party |
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5. Melissa McIntosh
Liberal Party |
6. Gareth McClure
Liberal Democrats |
7. Rebekah Ray
Informed Medical Options |
Candidate websites:
Gareth McClure
Melissa McIntosh
Pieter-Joris Morssink
Rebekah Ray
Trevor Ross
Division of Lindsay
Lindsay was created in 1984, taking in a stretch of Sydney's outer western suburbs based on Penrith. The seat was
one of the most commonly associated with the "Howard battlers": upwardly-mobile skilled workers and contractors
with aspirations to join the middle class. The presence of this class in Lindsay can be seen in the relatively
high level of median family income, compared with the very low proportion of people in professional occupations.
Lindsay is also a mortgage belt seat, with high proportions of families with dependent children and of dwellings
being purchased.
The seat includes the Labor stronghold of St Marys at its eastern end, and Labor also polls well in central
Penrith. But the belt of suburbs around Penrith, such as Emu Heights, Glenmore Park and York, generally vote
Liberal. This makes the seat a finely-balanced marginal which is hotly contested at every election.
Lindsay was held by Labor's
Ross Free, a junior minister in the Keating government, until the 1996 Liberal
landslide, when he was defeated by
Jackie Kelly, a favourite of John Howard and a junior minister in his
government. When she abruptly retired in 2007, and her husband was involved in a scandal involving
bogus election leaflets, Labor's
David Bradbury won the seat with a 12% swing. He was a minister in the
Rudd-Gillard government, and was narrowly re-elected in 2010, but in 2013 he was defeated by
Fiona Scott. Scott
was in turn defeated by Labor's
Emma Husar in 2016, as part of Labor's strong showing in western Sydney.
During 2018 Husar was the subject of a series of allegations of personal misconduct, which she strongly denied. In July
she took personal leave, and in August announced that she would not recontest the seat in 2019. After a long delay, Labor
chose former state MP and minister
Diane Beamer as its candidate. Not surprisingly, the Liberals regained the seat on the
back of a 6% swing.
Melissa McIntosh, Liberal MP for Lindsay since 2019, was a staffer for Jackie Kelly and later for Prime Minister Howard.
From 2011 to 2015 she worked at the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney. She was then chief of staff
to Assistant Treasurer
Alex Hawke until 2016, when she joined Wentworth Community Housing as executive manager. She was also
Vice-President of the NSW Liberal Party. These credentials should assure her of promotion if she can retain this notoriously
volatile seat. The Labor candidate is Trevor Ross, a 36-year veteran firefighter. The Greens candidate is Pieter-Joris Morssink, a teacher and youth worker.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,612 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 12.1% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 4.2% (Australia 2.8%)
Non-English-speaking households: 19.6% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 30.9% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 21.8% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 13.5% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 25.4% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 28.9% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 39.3% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 32.2% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 38.3% (Australia 32.8%)
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