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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Menzies, Victoria
Eastern Melbourne: Bulleen, Doncaster, Eltham, Templestowe, Warrandyte
State seats: All of
Bulleen, parts of
Eildon,
Eltham and
Warrandyte
Local government areas: Parts of Manningham, Maroondah and Nillumbik
Enrolment at close of rolls: 107,834
1999 republic referendum: Yes 59.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 57.0
Sitting member: Hon Kevin Andrews (Liberal):
Elected 1991 by-election, 1993, 1996, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.0%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.7%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 14.5%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.8%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 7.9%
Status: Marginal Liberal
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
1. Teresa Kelleher
Labour DLP |
2. Hon Kevin Andrews
Liberal Party |
3. Stella Yee
Australian Labor Party |
4. Rachel Payne
Reason Australia |
5. Brett Fuller
United Australia Party |
 |
6. Robert Humphreys
Australian Greens |
Candidate websites:
Hon Kevin Andrews
Robert Humphreys
Stella Yee
Division of Menzies
Menzies was created in 1984, when the old seat of Diamond Valley, a key marginal in the 1970s, was
abolished. It took in the more middle-class and more Liberal-voting parts of the seat, based on Doncaster
and Templestowe, and subsequent redistributions have expanded it further to the east into new upper-income
suburbia such as Warrandyte. It has the high level of median family income and the high proportion of
people in professional and managerial occupations typical of such seats, while also having a higher level of families with
dependent children and of dwellings being purchased than inner-city upper-income seats like Kooyong. It also
has quite a high proportion (42.7%) of non English speaking households: higfher than any Liberal-held seat except
Bennelong and Chisholm.
Although Menzies was seriously contested in the 1980s, it has grown stronger for the Liberals as the area has
grown wealthier. Members for Menzies have been Neil Brown (previously member for Diamond Valley and a
minister in the Fraser Government) and Kevin Andrews, who won the 1991 by-election which followed Brown's
resignation.
Kevin Andrews, Liberal MP for Menzies since 1991, was a barrister and legal academic before entering politics.
He was on the opposition front bench from 1992 and was a minister in the Howard Government, ending as
Minister for Immigration. He was an opposition frontbencher from 2009 to 2013, and successively Minister for
Social Services and Minister for Defence in the Abbott Government. He was dropped by Malcolm Turnbull in
September 2015 and is now a backbench dissident ally of former PM Tony Abbott. Since the retirement of Phillip
Ruddock in 2016 Andrews has been the longest-serving member of the House.* He has faced some pressure to retire
in 2019 but intends standing again.
The 2018 redistribution has expanded Menzies northwards, taking in Labor-inclined areas around Eltham, previously
in Jagajaga. This had reduced the Liberal majority without putting the seat at any real risk for the
Liberals.
The Labor candidate is Stella Yee, a Malaysian-born teacher. The Greens candidate is Robert Humphreys, a retired
Uniting Church minister.
* Warren Snowden was first elected in 1987, but he was out of Parliament between 1996 and 1998, so he doesn't
qualify as the longest-serving member.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,701 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 19.9% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 59.3% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 15.5%, Italian 7.7%
Non-English-speaking households: 42.7% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 31.4% (Australia 22.6%)
Orthodox Christian 7.7%
No religion 31.4% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 31.2% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 44.0% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 21.1% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 34.5% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 17.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 42.5% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Neil Brown (Lib) 1984-91
Hon Kevin Andrews (Lib) 1991b-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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