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Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Melbourne, Victoria

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Central Melbourne: Carlton, Collingwood, Docklands, Kensington, Richmond
State seats: Parts of Brunswick, Melbourne and Richmond
Local government areas: Parts of Melbourne and Yarra
Enrolment at close of rolls: 107,552
1999 republic referendum: Yes 70.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 83.7

Sitting member: Dr Adam Bandt (Green): Elected 2010, 2013, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Greens: 4.7%
2010 Greens majority over Labor: 6.0%
2013 Greens majority over Labor: 5.3%
2016 Greens majority over Liberal: 6.9%
2016 Labor notional majority over Liberal: 16.6%
2019 Greens notional majority over Liberal: 6.9%

Status: Marginal Greens over Liberal

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Judy Ryan
    Reason Australia
    2. Dr Adam Bandt
    Australian Greens
    3. Dave Blake
    Independent
    4. Lawrence Pope
    Animal Justice Party
    5. Lauren Sherson
    Liberal Party
    6. Luke Creasey
    Australian Labor Party (disendorsed)
    7. Tony Pecora
    United Australia Party



    Candidate websites:

    Dr Adam Bandt
    Lauren Sherson

    Division of Melbourne

    Melbourne has existed since Federation, its boundaries extending gradually outwards at each successive redistribution as the inner suburbs declined (in relative terms) in population, although this trend has recently been reversed as the inner city has been colonised by wealthy apartment-dwellers. Suburbs like Fitzroy, Richmond and Collingwood, once slums, are now wealthy areas populated by affluent professionals. Melbourne is now in the top 20% of seats in terms of median family income and in the top 10% in terms of people in professional occupations. It also has a high proportion of people born in non English speaking countries. Conversely, it has very low proportions of families with dependent children and dwellings being purchased.

    Labor held Melbourne continuously for over a century. During those decades it was one of the safest Labor seats in the country, and was held for most that time by two members: Dr Billy Maloney (the longest-serving backbencher in the history of the Australian Parliament) and Arthur Calwell, who was Leader of the Opposition from 1960 to 1967. The last Labor member was Lindsay Tanner, who was Minister for Finance in the Rudd Government but retired in 2010 rather than serve under Julia Gillard.

    The Greens vote in Melbourne rose from 6.6% in 1996 to 22.8 in 2007, almost all at the expense of Labor, reflecting the rapid demographic change in the electorate. In 2010, with Tanner's personal vote gone, the Greens polled 36.2% and won the seat on Liberal preferences. In 2013 the Greens polled 42.6%, and won without Liberal preferences. In 2016 they polled 43.7% and Labor finished third. It is difficult to see Labor regaining the seat, since the decline in its traditional vote is continuing. Only in parts of Richmond does Labor still win majority support.

    Dr Adam Bandt, Greens MP for Melbourne since 2010, and the first Greens candidate to win a House of Representatives seat at a general election, was a lawyer with Slater and Gordon (long-time Labor lawyers) before his election. He has a PhD in legal history from Monash University.

    Labor's candidate in 2019 was Luke Creasey, a high-school teacher and gay rights activist. Two weeks before the election he was disendorsed after inappropriate social media posts were released. The Liberal candidate is Lauren Sherson, whose occupation is not stated.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,484 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 7.9% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 44.9% (Australia 66.7%)
    Ancestry: Chinese 14.7%
    Non-English-speaking households: 40.9% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 15.2% (Australia 22.6%)
    Buddhism: 5.9%
    No religion 45.1% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 44.8% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 55.0% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 10.0% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 18.7% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 61.5% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 13.4% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Hon Sir Malcolm McEacharn (Prot) 1901-04
    Dr William Maloney (Lab, ALP) 1904b-40
    Rt Hon Arthur Calwell (ALP) 1940-72
    Ted Innes (ALP) 1972-83
    Hon Gerry Hand (ALP) 1983-93
    Hon Lindsay Tanner (ALP) 1993-2010
    Dr Adam Bandt (Green) 2010-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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