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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Lalor, Victoria
Western Melbourne: Hoppers Crossing, Point Cook, Tarneit, Werribee, Wyndham Vale
State seats: All of
Werribee, parts of
Altona and
Tarneit
Local government areas: Parts of Wyndham
Enrolment at close of rolls: 106,795
1999 republic referendum: No 51.3
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 56.8
Sitting member: Joanne Ryan (Labor):
Elected 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 15.5%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 22.2%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 12.2%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 13.4%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 14.4%
Status: Safe Labor
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
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1. Susan Jakobi
Australia First Party |
2. Gayle Murphy
Liberal Party |
3. Joanne Ryan
Australian Labor Party |
4. Jeffrey Robinson
United Australia Party |
5. Jay Dessi
Australian Greens |
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6. Aijaz Moinuddin
Independent |
Candidate websites:
Jay Dessi
Gayle Murphy
Joanne Ryan
Division of Lalor
Lalor was created in 1949, originally as a semi-rural seat extending as far north as Seymour. Later
redistributions cut it back to Melbourne's fast-growing outer western suburbs, based on the satellite town of
Werribee. Lalor is one of the country's leading lower-income mortgage belt seats, with very high levels of
families with dependent children and of dwellings being purchased. Its very low levels of people in
professional occupations and of people aged over 65 show that it is overwhelmingly a seat of young families, many
of them recent immigrants, buying their first homes. It is also a very multicultural seat, with an
increasing population of immigrants from India.
Lalor has nearly always been a Labor seat, although it was lost in 1966, when it still had substantial
rural areas in it. Members for Lalor, a Labor "leadership seat," have included Labor ministers Reg Pollard
(Chifley Government), Dr Jim Cairns (Whitlam Government), Barry Jones (Hawke Government) and Julia
Gillard, who won the seat in 1998.
Gillard was on the Opposition front bench from 2001 and made her reputation as shadow minister for
health. In 2006 she formed a leadership ticket Kevin Rudd and was elected Deputy Labor Leader, in
succession to Jenny Macklin. She was Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Employment and Workplace
Relations in the Rudd Government. In June 2010, after initial reluctance, she agreed to challenge Rudd,
and became Australia's first female PM when Rudd agreed not to contest the ballot. She lost Labor's majority
at the 2010 election and formed a minority government. In June 2013 she was defeated in Rudd's second
attempt at a counter-coup, and retired at the 2013 election.
Joan Ryan, Labor MP for Lalor since 2013, was a teacher and school principal before her election. She has
been an Opposition Whip since 2013.
The Liberal candidate is Gayle Murphy, a small business owner. The Greens candidate is Jay
Dessi, a software developer.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,600 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 7.8% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 52.7% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Indian 9.7%
Non-English-speaking households: 44.4% (Australia 22.2%)
Hindu: 8.4%
Catholics 24.1% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 22.9% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 24.1% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 28.9% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 22.3% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 47.4% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 28.8% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 47.7% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Reg Pollard (ALP) 1949-66
Mervyn Lee (Lib) 1966-69
Hon Dr Jim Cairns (ALP) 1969-77
Hon Barry Jones (ALP) 1977-98
Hon Julia Gillard (ALP) 1998-2013
Joanne Ryan (ALP) 2013-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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