Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Leichhardt, Queensland

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North Queensland: Bayview Heights, Cairns, Cooktown, Mossman, Trinity Beach
State seats: All of Barron River and Cairns, parts of Cook
Local government areas: All of Aurukun, Cook, Douglas, Hope Vale, Kowanyama, Mappoon, Napranum, Northern Peninsula, Pormpuraaw, Torres, Torres Strait Islands, Weipa and Wujal Wujal, parts of Cairns, Carpentaria and Mareeba
Enrolment at close of rolls: 109,455
1999 republic referendum: No 59.0
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 63.4

Sitting member: Hon Warren Entsch (Liberal): Elected 1996, 1998, 2001, 2004. Retired 2007. Elected 2010, 2013, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 4.0%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 4.5%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.7%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 4.0%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 4.0%

Status: Marginal Liberal

Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Miallo (67.2), Daintree (65.7), Port Douglas PPVC (63.0), Clifton Beach (60.9), Cooktown (59.6)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Kowanyama (82.6), Aurukun (73.4), Bamaga (70.8), Machans Beach (62.6), Hope Vale (59.6)

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Jo Ashby
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party
    2. Chad Anderson
    Independent
    3. Elida Faith
    Australian Labor Party
    4. Ross Macdonald
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    5. Daniel McCarthy
    Katter's Australian Party
    6. Jen Sackley
    United Australia Party
    7. Hon Warren Entsch
    Liberal Party
    8. Gary Oliver
    Australian Greens



    Candidate websites:

    Hon Warren Entsch
    Elida Faith
    Daniel McCarthy
    Gary Oliver
    Jen Sackley

    Division of Leichhardt

    Leichhardt was created in 1949 and its boundaries have changed very little since - it consists of the fast- growing tourist centre of Cairns and the remote communities of Cape York as far north as Torres Strait. The tourist boom has given the seat a higher level of median family income than most regional seats, though it still has a low level of people non English speaking households and people in professional and managerial occupations. It has the seccond-highest level of people working in tourism of any seat, and also the third-highest proportion of people of Indigenous origin.

    For most of its history Leichhardt was a fairly safe Labor seat, dominated by the pastoral workforce and the Australian Workers Union, but the decline of the rural working class and the growth of Cairns as a service centre have changed the seat's demography and politics, and the Liberals have held it with one interruption since 1996. Labor retains some strength in Cairns, but its strongest support now comes from the Indigenous communities of Cape York. The Liberals dominate the coastal areas around Cairns, although Labor won all the state seats in this area in 2015 and 2017.

    Warren Entsch, Liberal MP for Leichhardt from 1996 to 2007 and again since 2010, is a colourful and unpredictable character who has built up a large personal vote. Before entering politics he was a crocodile farmer and property developer. He was a Parliamentary Secretary in the Howard Government. When he retired in 2007, the seat went to Labor's Jim Turnour, but in 2010 Entsch made a comeback and easily regained the seat. He was Chief Opposition Whip from 2010 to 2013.

    Labor's candidate is Elida Faith, a public servant with the Department of Human Services and a local office-holder in the Community and Public Sector Union. Given the fairly comfortable Liberal majority and the high profile that Entsch enjoys after 22 years in local politics, this will be a hard seat for Labor to win. The Greens candidate is Gary Oliver, CEO of the National Congress of Australia’s First Peoples. Daniel McCarthy, a commercial fisher, is running for Katter's Australian Party.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,314 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 12.1% (Australia 15.8%)
    Indigenous: 16.6% (Australia 2.8%)
    Australian born: 81.9% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 17.9% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 20.1% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 30.8% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 15.8% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 30.7% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 18.3% (Australia 22.9%)
    Employed in agriculture: 2.0% (Australia 3.3%)
    Paying a mortgage: 30.1% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 43.0% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 28.2% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Thomas Gilmore (CP) 1949-51
    Hon Henry Bruce (ALP) 1951-58
    Bill Fulton (ALP) 1958-75
    Hon David Thomson (NCP, NPA) 1975-83
    John Gayler (ALP) 1983-93
    Peter Dodd (ALP) 1993-96
    Hon Warren Entsch (Lib) 1996-2007
    Jim Turnour (ALP) 2007-10
    Hon Warren Entsch (Lib) 2010-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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