Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Boothby, South Australia

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Southern Adelaide: Ascot Park, Brighton, Eden Hills, Glenelg, Mitcham
State seats: All of Elder and Gibson, parts of Badcoe, Black, Colton, Davenport, Morphett and Waite
Local government areas: All of Holdfast Bay, parts of Marion, Mitcham and Unley
Enrolment at close of rolls: 123,969
1999 republic referendum: Yes 51.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 68.5

Sitting member: Nicolle Flint (Liberal): Elected 2016

2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.9%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 0.8%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.1%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.8%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 2.8%

Status: Very marginal Liberal

Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Netherby (73.2), Myrtle Bank PPVC (66.2), Mitcham (65.6), Brighton West (64.2), Glenelg South (62.5)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Ascot Park (62.1), Tonsley Park (60.7), Black Forest (60.0), Mitchell Park (58.9), Edwardstown (58.8)
  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Geoff Russell
    Animal Justice Party
    2. Stef Rozitis
    Australian Greens
    3. Adrian Cheok
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party
    4. Carol Wong
    Rise Up Australia
    5. Nicolle Flint
    Liberal Party
    6. Nadia Clancy
    Australian Labor Party
    7. Peter Salerno
    United Australia Party
    8. Trevor Jones
    Independent

    Candidate websites:

    Nadia Clancy
    Nicolle Flint
    Trevor Jones
    Stef Rozitis
    Geoff Russell
    Peter Salerno

    Division of Boothby

    Boothby has existed since South Australia was first divided into electorates in 1903. Until 1949 it covered most of Adelaide's southern and eastern suburbs and was politically marginal. It was last won by Labor in 1946. In 1949 it was made into a very safe Liberal seat, which it remained until the 1993 redistribution shifted it westwards to take in the politically marginal beachside suburbs. Since then it has remained marginal, though always retained by the Liberals. It is a fairly wealthy area - on its current boundaries no longer among the wealthiest seats, but still with an above-average level of people in professional and managerial occupations.

    Dr Andrew Southcott won Boothby in 1996. He was in the opposition shadow ministry from 2007 to 2013, but was not included in the Abbott ministry. In 2015 he was an unsuccessful candidate for the position of Speaker. He retired in 2016. Labor ran determined campaigns in Boothby in 2007 and 2010, and came very close to winning in 2010, but in 2013 the Liberal margin blew out to 7.5%. A swing back to Labor in 2016 reduced the margin to 3.8%.

    Nicolle Flint, Liberal MP for Boothby since 2016, was a doctoral student and media commentator before her election.

    The 2018 redistribution has removed Liberal territory around Flagstaff Hill, while adding Labor areas around Ascot Park, as well as part of Glenelg, formerly in Hindmarsh. The net effect is to reduce the Liberal margin to 2.8%. Since Boothby is now the only genuine marginal seat in SA, both parties will devote a lot af attention to it in 2019. The Labor candidate will be Nadia Clancy, until recently an advisor to state Labor ministers. The Greens candidate is Stef Rozitis, a teacher. The Animal Justice candidate, Geoff Russell, is a retired software engineer. There is an independent candidate, Trevor Jones, a software engineer.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,438 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 19.6% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 71.5% (Australia 66.7%)
    Ancestry: German 5.5%
    Non-English-speaking households: 16.7% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 16.4% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 38.2% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 28.6% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 41.1% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 20.1% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 38.0% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 22.7% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 32.3% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Hon Lee Batchelor (ALP) 1903-11
    David Gordon (Lib) 1911b-13
    George Dankel (ALP, Nat) 1913-17
    William Story (Nat) 1917-22
    John Duncan-Hughes (Nat) 1922-28
    John Price (ALP, UAP) 1928-41
    Dr Grenfell Price (UAP) 1941b-43
    Thomas Sheehy (ALP) 1943-49
    Hon Sir John McLeay (Lib) 1949-66
    Hon John McLeay (Lib) 1966-81
    Steele Hall (Lib) 1981b-96
    Dr Andrew Southcott (Lib) 1996-2016
    Nicolle Flint (Lib) 2016-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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