Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Bonner, Queensland

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Southside Brisbane: Chandler, Manly, Wishart, Wynnum
State seats: All of Lytton, parts of Bulimba, Chatsworth, Greenslopes, Mansfield, Redcliffe and Toohey
Local government areas: Parts of Brisbane
Enrolment at close of rolls: 104,610
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 62.0

Sitting member: Ross Vasta (Liberal): Elected 2004. Defeated 2007. Elected 2010, 2013, 2016

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 4.5%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.8%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.7%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.3%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 3.4%

Status: Very marginal Liberal

Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Mansfield North (71.9), Mackenzie (71.0), Carina Heights (67.0), Rochedale (66.3), Greenmeadows (65.5)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Murarrie (64.8), Wynnum West (61.6), Hemmant (60.8), Tingalpa (59.2), Mount Gravatt East (56.1)

  • 2016 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. Simon Flitcroft
    United Australia Party
    2. Barbara Bell
    Australian Greens
    3. Ian Symes
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    4. Ross Vasta
    Liberal Party
    5. Alex Maynard
    Fraser Anning's Conservative
    National Party
    6. Jo Briskey
    Australian Labor Party



    Candidate websites:

    Barbara Bell
    Jo Briskey
    Simon Flitcroft
    Ross Vasta

    Division of Bonner

    Bonner was created in 2004 from parts of the Labor-held seats of Bowman and Griffith in Brisbane's eastern suburbs. The northern part of the seat around Manly and Wynnum is traditional Labor territory, and Labor also has some strength around Mt Gravatt at the south-western end of the seat. But in between are strongly Liberal areas such as Belmont, Gumdale and Mansfield. The seat occupies the mid range on most key demographic indicators: it is not really a mortgage belt seat, like Bowman to the east, nor is it a multicultural inner-city seat like Griffith to the west.

    In 2004 the sitting Labor member for Bowman, former minister Con Sciacca, was expected to win this new seat, but he became a victim of Mark Latham's lack of appeal to suburban voters in Queensland and was defeated by Ross Vasta. But in 2007 the surge of support for Labor under the leadership of Kevin Rudd (MP for neighbouring Griffith) saw Vasta defeated by former Brisbane councillor Kerry Rea. In 2010, with Rudd gone, Vasta won the seat back, and he increased his majority in 2013. There was only a slight swing back to Labor in 2016. The seat has not been chamged by the 2018 redistribution.

    Ross Vasta, Liberal MP for Bonner 2004-07 and since 2010, is a former marketing manager. He has been an inconspicuous member and has not gained promotion despite the high turnover on the Liberal front bench in recent years. Labor's candidate in 2019 will be Jo Briskey, executive director of The Parenthood, a not-for-profit organisation. Her father Darryl Briskey was a state MP in the same area 1989-2006. The Greens candidate is Barbara Bell, a teacher and physiotherapist.

    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,742 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 14.7% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 67.5% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 20.8% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 23.7% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 28.2% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 26.5% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 38.6% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 22.7% (Australia 22.9%)
    Paying a mortgage: 37.3% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 28.2% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 37.1% (Australia 32.8%)

    Members:

    Ross Vasta (Lib) 2004-07
    Kerry Rea (ALP) 2007-10
    Ross Vasta (Lib) 2010-

    Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:




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