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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Bowman, Queensland
Southside Brisbane: Birkdale, Capalaba, Cleveland, Victoria Point, Wellington Point
State seats: All of
Capalaba,
Oodgeroo and
Redlands, parts of
Springwood
Local government areas: All of Redland
Enrolment at close of rolls: 109,454
1999 republic referendum: No 61.0
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 62.1
Sitting member: Dr Andrew Laming (Liberal):
Elected 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 0.0%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.4%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.9%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.1%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 7.1%
Status: Marginal Liberal
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Emerald Moon Australian Greens |
2. Dr Andrew Laming Liberal Party |
3. Shane Clarke United Australia Party |
4. David Anderson Fraser Anning's Conservative National Party |
5. Glen Wadsworth Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
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6. Dr Tom Baster Australian Labor Party |
Candidate websites:
Dr Tom Baster
Dr Andrew Laming
Emerald Moon
Division of Bowman
Bowman was created in 1949 and has always occupied territory in Brisbane's south-eastern beachside suburbs.
It has always been a marginal seat (every member who has held the seat has been defeated), but recent
redistributions have pushed it further to the south-east, making it a better seat for the Liberals. It has a
high level of families with dependent children and of dwellings being purchased, the indicators of a mortgage-
belt seat. Strikingly, it has the second-lowest proportion (after Kingston) of non English speaking households of any urban
seat in Australia.
Labor's strength is in Capalaba and Alexandra Hills, and also in the Indigenous communities on North Stradbroke
Island, particularly Dunwich. But these are now outvoted by strong Liberal areas such as Cleveland, Redland Bay
and Victoria Point.
Con Sciacca served two stints as Labor member for Bowman and was a minister in the Keating Government. The
2004 redistribution created a new seat of Bonner, including most of Bowman's better Labor areas, and Sciacca
(unsuccessfully) contested Bonner in 2004. Bowman passed to the Liberals.
Dr Andrew Laming, Liberal MP for Bowman since 2004, was an ophthalmologist and World Bank health consultant
with an impressive CV before his election. He very narrowly held the seat in 2007, but has not been troubled
since. He has not lived up to his early promise and is still on the backbench. The Labor candidate in
2019 will be Dr Tom Baster, a Victoria Point GP. The Greens candidate is Emerald Moon, whose occupation is not
stated.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,521 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 17.9% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 2.3% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 72.5% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 9.4% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 21.1% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 29.8% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 15.5% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 29.6% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 30.3% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 39.7% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 24.5% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 34.8% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Malcolm McColm (Lib) 1949-61
Jack Comber (ALP) 1961-63
Dr Wylie Gibbs (Lib) 1963-69
Leonard Keogh (ALP) 1969-75
David Jull (Lib) 1975-83
Leonard Keogh (ALP) 1983-87
Hon Con Sciacca (ALP) 1987-96
Andrea West (Lib) 1996-98
Hon Con Sciacca (ALP) 1998-2004
Dr Andrew Laming (Lib) 2004-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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