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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Wannon, Victoria
Named for: Wannon River, named by Major Thomas Mitchell in 1836 (Indigenous word of unknown meaning)
Western Victoria: Anglesey, Colac, Hamilton, Portland, Warrnambool
Enrolment at 2019 election: 114,617
Enrolment at 2022 election: 115,709 (+01.1)
1999 republic referendum: No 64.5
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 61.0
2023 Voice referendum: No 67.6
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Sitting member: Hon Dan Tehan (Liberal): Elected 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019, 2022
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2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.5%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.3%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.1%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 9.0%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.4%
2022 Liberal majority over Independent 3.9%
2025 notional Liberal majority over Independent 3.9%
2025 notional Liberal majority over Labor 8.6%
Status: Very marginal Liberal (over Independent)
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Kate Gazzard
Aust Greens |
Fiona Mackenzie
Aust Labor Party |
Hon Dan Tehan
Liberal Party |
Alex Dyson (Independent)
Division of Wannon
Wannon has existed since Federation, and has always occupied part of the Western District in the south-western corner of Victoria,
one of Australia's wealthiest agricultural areas, with an economy based on wool-growing. Until the 1950s the area had a
large rural working class and also many small farmers, who provided a voting base for Labor, and the seat was frequently
marginal. Since the 1960s it has become increasingly conservative. It still has a high proportion of its workforce
engaged in agriculture (20.5%, the 4th highest
in the country), and the 4th lowest proportion of non English-speaking households of any electorate.
There is some Labor vote in Portland, Warrnambool and the Surf Coast towns, but Hamilton and the rural parts of the seat are overwhelmingly
Liberal.
The last two redistributions have both extended the seat eastwards, taking in all the rural parts of the seat of
Corangamite. Wannon now
effectively covers the whole of the Western District, as well as
the Surf Coast as far north as Anglesey. This has slightly reduced the Liberal majority.
Wannon's most eminent member has been
Malcolm Fraser, Prime Minister from 1975 to 1983. Fraser won the seat from Labor in
1955 at his second
try, and went on to consolidate the seat for the Liberals, greatly helped by the Labor Split of the 1950s and Labor's
demographic decline in the area. He was succeeded by
David Hawker, who was Speaker of the House from 2004 to 2007. He
retired in 2010.
Dan Tehan, Liberal MP for Wannon since 2010, is the son of
Marie Tehan, who was a state minister in the 1990s. He was
a public servant, diplomat and ministerial adviser before his election. He was also deputy state director of the Victorian
Liberal Party. He has been rapidly promoted and was Minister for Social Services in the Turnbull ministry. He was
promoted to Minister for Education and Minister for Trade, Tourism and Investment in the Morrison ministry. He is now Shadow Minister for Immigration and Citizenship. At the 2022 election
Tehan was run close by an independent candidate, Alex Dyson, a Warrnambool broadcaster and journalist. Dyson is running again in 2025. The Labor candidate is Fiona Mackenzie, a retired teacher.
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