|
|
|
|
| Adam Carr's Election Archive
|
Australian federal election, 2025
Division of McEwen, Victoria
Named for: Rt Hon Sir John McEwen (1900-80), federal MP 1934-71, Prime Minister 1967-68
North of Melbourne: Diamond Creek, Gisborne, Hurstbridge, Wallan, Whittlesea
Enrolment at 2019 election: 108,064
Enrolment at 2022 election: 108,036 (+00.0)
1999 republic referendum: No 55.5
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 65.4
2023 Voice referendum: No 60.1
 |
Sitting member: Rob Mitchell (Labor): Elected 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019
|
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 0.0%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 5.3%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 0.2%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.8%
2019 Labor majority over Liberal: 5.0%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.3%
2025 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 3.3%
Status: Very marginal Labor
Labor two-party vote 1984-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
 |
 |
Jason McClintock
Liberal Party |
Rob Mitchell
Australian Labor Party |
Division of McEwen
McEwen was created in 1984, covering an expanse of rural Victoria north and north-east of Melbourne, as well as some
fast-growing outer suburbs. Although most of its area is semi-rural, it has the social characteristsics of an
outer-suburban mortgage belt seat - a high proportions of families with dependent children and of dwellings
being purchased, and a low level of people in non English speaking households. The seat has always been
politically marginal, with its orientation usually being determined by which suburbs are included at each successive
redistribution. The 2010 redistribution, by adding the strongly Labor-voting suburb of Craigieburn, tipped the seat
towards Labor. The 2018 redistribution removed Craigieburn, but also removed rural areas around Seymour. The
result was to reduce the Labor majority slightly. The 2021 redistribution has added an area around Diamond Creek,
slightly improving the seat for Labor. The 2024 redistribution has made only minor changes.
Fran Bailey, who held McEwen for the Liberals for most of the
1990s, was a junior minister in the Howard Government and well-regarded locally. As a result she was able, by the narrowest of
margins, to retain the seat in 2007. When she retired in 2010, the seat was won by Labor. There was a swing back to the Liberals in 2013,
but in 2016, aided by a poor Liberal candidate, Labor secured a swing of 7.6%. There was no significant swing in 2019, and a small
swing to the Liberals in 2022.
Rob Mitchell, Labor MP for McEwen since 2010, was
variously a boot-maker, tow-truck operator and sales manager before entering politics. In 2002 he unexpectedly won the Victorian Legislative Council seat of Central Highlands, which he held until 2006. He narrowly failed to win McEwen in 2007, won it in 2010, and has retained it by narrow margins since. The Liberal candidate in 2025 will be Jason McClintock, who runs an IT business.
Back to main page
| |