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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Macarthur, New South Wales
Named for: John Macarthur (1766-1834), founder of wool industry, NSW MP 1825-33, and his wife Elizabeth (1766-1850)
South-western Sydney: Bradbury, Campbelltown, Eagle Vale, Gregory Hills, Minto
Enrolment at 2019 election: 119,152
Enrolment at 2022 election: 133,408 (+12.1)
1999 republic referendum: No 59.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 52.1
2023 Voice referendum: No 65.1
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 0.7%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.0%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 11.4%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 8.3%
2019 Labor majority over Liberal: 8.4%
2022 Labor majority over Liberal: 8.5%
2025 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 9.8%
Status: Fairly safe Labor
Labor two-party vote 1983-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Dr Mike Freelander
Australian Labor Party |
Division of Macarthur
Macarthur was created in 1949, and has usually been located in the farming towns to the south-west of Sydney,
although at different times at has been drawn into both the Sydney suburbs and the outskirts of Wollongong.
Until the 1970s it was a fairly safe Liberal seat, while from 1984 to 1993, when it included parts of
Wollongong, it was a safe Labor seat. Today it is once again a marginal, outer suburban seat, centred on
Campbelltown.
Although Macarthur has a fairly high level of median family income, it also has very high levels of families
with dependent children and of dwellings being purchased, making it a typical high-income mortgage belt
seat. Its low level of people in professional and managerial occupations shows that it is an electorate of skilled workers and middle-class wage-earners raising families and paying mortgages.
John Fahey, former NSW Premier and Finance Minister
in the Howard Government, won Macarthur in 1996 and held it until 2001, when he retired. His successor,
Pat Farmer, was a Parliamentary Secretary in the
Howard Government's last term. He retired in 2010 after a falling out with the NSW Liberal Party and was
succeeded by
Russell Matheson, who greatly increased his majority in 2013. But the 2016 redistribution radically changed Macarthur, removing its rural areas and moving it northwards into Labor-voting suburban areas such as Eagle Vale and Minto. As a result, Matheson was defeated in 2016.
Dr Mike Freelander, Labor MP for Macarthur since 2016,
was well-known as a Campbelltown paediatrician for over 30 years. He was 63 at the time of his election, making him one of the oldest first-time MPs in recent years. He gained a large swing in 2016, which he retained in 2019 and 2022, and now appears fairly secure. He is now 71 but is apparently running again in 2025.
Boundaries following most recent redistribution:
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