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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Mackellar, New South Wales
Named for: Dorothea Mackellar (1885-1968), poet
Northern Sydney: Collaroy, Frenchs Forest, Mona Vale, Narrabeen, Palm Beach
Enrolment at 2019 election: 110,899
Enrolment at 2022 election: 111,170 (+00.4)
1999 republic referendum: No 50.6
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 68.0
2023 Voice referendum: Yes 50.8
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 12.4%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 15.7%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 18.8%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 15.7%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 13.2%
2022 Independent majority over Liberal 2.5%
2025 notional Independent majority over Liberal 3.3%
Status: Very marginal Independent
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Dr Sophie Scamps
Independent |
Division of Mackellar
Mackellar was created in 1949, based on the northern beaches suburbs of Sydney, and its boundaries have not changed much
since. This is an affluent area and until 2022 the seat was always safe for the Liberal Party. It is among the top 10% of
electorates in terms of median family incomes, although its proportion of people in professional occupations is not as
high as those in seats closer to the city centre. Between 1949 and 2016 Mackellar had only three members, all ministers
in Liberal governments.
Bill Wentworth, after a long career as an eccentric backbencher, was a
minister in the McMahon government, and
Jim Carlton was a minister in the Fraser government, and shadow treasurer during
Dr John Hewson's leadership.
Bronwyn Bishop was elected to the Senate in 1987 (as the first female Senator
from NSW), and was on the opposition front bench from 1989. She shifted to the House of Representatives at the 1994 by-election following Carlton's resignation She was a junior minister in the Howard government but was dropped after the 2001 election. She was elected Speaker
during the Abbott government. She was highly partisan in this role, and found little sympathy when she was accused of abusing her
entitlements. She denied this, but resigned in August 2015.
Bishop was determined to stand again in 2016, but at 73 she could not rally support and was defeated in a party ballot. She was the
longest-serving female member in the history of the Australian Parliament.
Jason Falinksi, who won Mackellar in 2016, was a Warringah councillor before his election. He seemed secure in a safe Liberal seat, but he became a victim of the Morrison Government's increasing unpopularity with
upper-income urban voters. At the 2022 election he was unexpectedly defeated by an an independent.
Dr Sophie Scamps, independent MP for Mackellar since 2022, was a general practitioner before her election. She has a master's degree in science from Oxford. She practised emergency medicine in Canberra and at Royal North Shore and Mona Vale Hospitals, before becoming a GP.
Boundaries following most recent redistribution:
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