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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Longman, Queensland
Named for: Irene Longman (1877-1964), Qld MP 1929-32 (first Qld woman MP)
North of Brisbane: Banksia Beach, Burpengary, Caboolture, Morayfield, Narangba
Enrolment at 2019 election: 114,702
Enrolment at 2022 election: 129,001 (+12.6)
1999 republic referendum: No 66.5
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 60.4
2023 Voice referendum: No 75.3
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Sitting member: Terry Young (Liberal): Elected 2019, 2022
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2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.6%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.9%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.9%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 0.8%
2018 by-election Labor majority over Liberal: 4.4%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.3%
2022 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.1%
Status: Very marginal Liberal
Liberal two-party vote 1996-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Division of Longman
Longman was created in 1996, and was originally a semi-rural seat arching around to the north and west of Brisbane.
Successive redistributions have cut it back to the suburbanising corridor between Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast,
centered on Caboolture. Longman has among the lowest median family income levels, the lowest proportion of people
in non English speaking households, and the lowest proportion of university graduates, in the country.
Although an outer suburban seat, it is not a mortgage belt sat, having a fairly low level of families with dependent
children and dwellings being purchased.
Longman was won in 1996 by
Malcolm Brough, who was a parliamentary secretary from 2001 and in Cabinet in the last year of the Howard Government. In 2007 he was defeated in the Rudd sweep of the Queensland seats. His Labor successor
Jon Sullivan was in turn defeated by the Liberals'
Wyatt Roy in 2010. Roy, at 20, was the youngest person ever elected to the
Australian Parliament. He was easily re-elected in 2013 and was a junior minister in the Turnbull Government.
In 2016 Roy was unexpectedly defeated by Labor's
Susan Lamb, an organiser with the
trade union United Voice. Labor gained particularly large swings in the suburban corridor
suburbs of Caboolture, Morayfield and Burpengary, while the Bribie Island towns largely stayed Liberal.
In early 2018 it emerged that Lamb had not successfully
renounced a possible claim to British citizenship, arising from her father's birth in Britain. She resigned her seat and
successfully contested the subsequent by-election. But in 2019 the strong swing to the Coalition in Queensland delivered
Longman to the Liberal Party.
Terry Young, Liberal MP for Longman since 2019, was a store manager and small businessman with no previous political involvement
before his election. He is of South Sea Islander descent. This seat remains highly marginal and Labor could regain it if its
statewide fortunes recover.
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