|
|
|
|
| Adam Carr's Election Archive
|
Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Lyne, New South Wales
Named for: Rt Hon Sir William Lyne (1844-1913), NSW MP 1880-1901, Premier 1899-1901, federal MP 1901-13
North Coast New South Wales: Dungog, Forster, Gloucester, Taree, Wauchope
Enrolment at 2019 election: 118,865
Enrolment at 2022 election: 124,499 (+04.9)
1999 republic referendum: No 61.6
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 55.3
2023 Voice referendum: No 73.5
2007 Nationals majority over Labor: 8.6%
2008 by-election Independent majority over Nationals: 23.9
2010 Independent majority over Nationals: 12.7%
2013 Nationals majority over Labor: 14.8%
2016 Nationals majority over Labor: 11.6%
2019 Nationals majority over Labor: 15.2%
2022 Nationals majority over Labor: 13.8%
2025 notional Nationals majority over Labor: 13.8%
Status: Safe Nationals
Nationals two-party vote 1983-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
Division of Lyne
Lyne was created in 1949, on the NSW north coast, running from Kempsey to Port Stephens. It has been cut back by
successive redistributions as the coast has grown rapidly, and now consists largely of the Taree and Tuncurry-Forster
areas, with some Maitland suburbs at its southern end. Although it contains a number of farming communities, it is
mainly a tourism and retirement area: only 7.4% of its population are engaged in agriculture, while more than 27% are
aged over 65, the highest proportion of any electorate. This combination gives it the second-lowest median
household income of any electorate. It is also a very monocultural seat, with the second-lowest level of
non English speaking households of any electorate.
Until 2008, Lyne had been held by the Country Party and its successor the Nationals since it was created.
Mark Vaile won it for the Nationals in 1993. He was a
minister in the Howard Government and became Leader of the Nationals and Deputy Prime Minister on the retirement of
John Anderson in 2005. He resigned
his seat after the 2007 election defeat, and the by-election was won by
Rob Oakeshott, an independent who had been state MP for
Port Macquarie since 1996. After the 2010 election Oakeshott joined with
Tony Windsor in supporting the minority Gillard Labor
Government. He would have had little hope of retaining Lyne in 2013, and instead chose to retire.
Dr David Gillespie, Nationals MP for
Lyne since 2013, was a gastroenterologist and consultant physician, and also
a farmer, before his election. The 2016 redistribution removed Port Macquarie from the seat, and instead
extended it southwards to take in all the rural parts of Paterson, including Dungog, Tuncurry-Forster and some
suburbs of Maitland. The Nationals majority was slightly reduced, but Gillespie easily retained the seat in 2016.
He was made an assistant minister in 2016 but was returned to the back bench in 2018. From July 2021 until the 2022
election he was Minister for Regional Health. In October 2024 he announced that he would not stand again.
Boundaries following most recent redistribution:
Back to main page
| |
