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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Lingiari, Northern Territory
Named for: Vincent Lingiari (1908-88), NT Indigenous leader and land rights campaigner
Outback Northern Territory: Alice Springs, Humpty Doo, Katherine, Nhulunbuy, Tennant Creek
Enrolment at 2019 election: 69,994
Enrolment at 2022 election: 74,008 (+05.8)
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 54.5
2023 Voice referendum: No 56.5
2007 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 11.2%
2010 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 3.7%
2013 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 0.9%
2016 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 8.4%
2019 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 5.5%
2022 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 1.0%
2025 notional Labor majority over Country Liberal: 1.0%
Status: Very marginal Labor
Labor two-party vote 2001-22
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Marion Scrymgour
Australian Labor Party |
Division of Lingiari
Lingiari was created 2001 when the old seat of
Northern Territory was divided in two.
It covers the whole of the Northern
Territory except the cities of Darwin and Palmerston. Despite its large Indigenous population, it has an above-average median income level, mainly
due to the high wages paid in the mining industry. It has very low proportion of university graduates and of people in professional
occupations. It also has a very young population, with the lowest proportion of over-65s of any electorate, reflecting the high
birth-rate and lower life expectancy of its Indigenous population.
The dominant political fact in Lingiari is that it has the largest Indigenous population (41.7%) of any federal electorate,
and that until recently Indigenous voters voted almost unanimously Labor, although they have a lower turnout than
white voters. This meant that Labor needed only about 35% of the white vote in Lingiari to win the seat, and Warren
Snowdon, who represented outback NT for 30 years, had enough appeal to white voters to be able to get at least
that.
In recent years, however, Labor's support among Indigenous voters has fluctuated, as was shown most spectacularly at the
2012 NT election. This partly explains the swings against Snowdon in 2010 and 2013. Labor still wins most of the remote
mobile booths, polling over 80% of the two-party vote in some of them. The Country Liberals win most of the white-majority
town booths.
Snowdon, MP for Northern Territory 1987-96 and 1998-2001 and for Lingiari 2001-22, was a Parliamentary Secretary
in the Keating Government and a minister in the Rudd-Gillard Government. He retired at the 2022 election.
Marion Scrymgour, was MLA for Arafura from 2001
to 2012, and was a minister in the Martin government. More recently she was Chairperson of the Aboriginal Medical Services
Alliance Northern Territory and CEO of the Northern Land Council. At the 2022 she survived the loss of Snowdon's personal vote and was
elected with a narrow majority. Following Labor's heavy defeat at the 2024 Territory election, the CLP will be keen to win this seat.
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