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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Capricornia, Queensland
Named for: Regional name (the Tropic of Capricorn runs through Rockhampton. The first use of "Capricornia" as a regional name I have found is in an article by Sir Thomas Mitchell in 1851.)
Central Queensland coast: Kawana, Moranbah, Rockhampton, Sarina, Yeppoon
Enrolment at 2019 election: 102,577
Enrolment at 2022 election: 108,569 (+06.0)
1999 republic referendum: No 68.1
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 54.1
2023 Voice referendum: No 80.7
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 12.7%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.7%
2013 Nationals majority over Labor: 0.8%
2016 Nationals majority over Labor: 0.6%
2019 Nationals majority over Labor: 12.4%
2022 Nationals majority over Labor: 6.6%
Status: Marginal Nationals
Nationals two-party vote 1983-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Hon Michelle Landry
The Nationals |
Emily Mawson
Australian Labor Party |
Division of Capricornia
Capricornia has existed since Federation, and has always been based on the provincial port of Rockhampton, although its boundaries have
fluctuated greatly at successive redistributions. Until recently it was usually been a Labor seat. The seat has rather higher median income levels than
most regional seats, but has the usual regional characteristics of low levels of people in professional occupations and of people born in non
English speaking countries.
Like many other provincial cities, particuarly those based on resources industries, Rockhampton has turned against Labor in recent years, at least
at federal level. In 2013 Labor won most of the Rockhampton booths, some with more than 60% of the two-party vote, but by 2019 the Nationals were
winning most of them. The Nationals also sweep the small rural booths and the coastal towns of Sarina and Yeppoon.
Capricornia's most distinguished member has been
Frank Forde, Labor's Deputy Leader 1935-46 and briefly Prime Minister in 1945. After his
defeat in 1946, Labor did not regain the seat until 1961. The Nationals won it in 1975 and 1996, in each case for only one term. But since
regaining it in 2013 the Nationals have tightened their grip on the seat. Labor's
Kirsten Livermore won Capricornia in 1998, and held it as a
backbencher until her retirement in 2013, when it fell to the Nationals on a 4.5% swing.
Michelle Landry, Nationals MP for Capricornia since 2013, was a bank officer for over 20 years before establishing her own book-keeping
business. She contested Capricornia in 2010 before winning it in 2013. She held the seat with only a slight negative swing in 2016, then gained a huge
swing in 2019. The Nationals' margin was pulled back in 2022, but Landry now appears to be entrenched in the seat. In 2018 she was appointed an assistant minister. She is now Shadow Assistant Minister for Manufacturing. The Labor candidate in 2025 will be Emily Mawson, an asbestos, dust and occupational diseases lawyer.
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