Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Psephos: Adam Carr's Election Archive
Australian federal election 2025


The House of Representatives

  • See all 150 seats in alphabetical order
  • See all 150 seats in pendulum order

  • National outlook

    At the election of 21 May 2022, the House of Representatives had 151 members. At that election the Liberal-National Coalition government led by Prime Minister Scott Morrison won 58 seats, a loss of 19 seats. The opposition Australian Labor Party led by Anthony Albanese won 77 seats, a net gain of nine seats. The Australian Greens won four seats, a gain of three seats. Katter's Australian Party and the Centre Alliance each won one seat. The three sitting independent members were re-elected. The Liberals lost six formerly safe seats to independents (known as "the Teals"), and Labor lost one seat to an independent. This created a total cross-bench of 16, the largest in the history of the House of Reprsenentatives. Thus, after providing a Speaker, the incoming Albanese government was left with 76 seats, while the combined non-government members totalled 75 members.

    In 2024 there were redistributions in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia. New South Wales and Victoria each lost a seat, while Western Australia regained the seat it had lost in 2022. The abolished seat in New South Wales was North Sydney (independent), and in Victoria it was Higgins (Labor). The Victorian Liberal seat of Menzies became notionally Labor, and the NSW Labor seat of Bennelong became notionally Liberal. The new Western Australian seat of Bullwinkel is also notionally Labor. The redistributions therefore made no net change to Labor and the Coalition, while costing the cross-bench one seat.

    As a result, at the 2025 election, Labor will go into the election with a notional total of 77 seats (including the Speaker's seat), while the Coalition will have a notional 58 seats. There will be 15 seats held by cross-bench members. Labor also holds the Victorian seat of Aston, won from the Liberals at a by-election in April 2023. The Coalition will thus need to gain 19 seats to have a majority. Labor will need to hold 77 seats to form a majority government after providing a Speaker. If Labor loses more than two seats to the Coalition, the cross-bench members will hold the balance of power.

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