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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Pearce, Western Australia
Named for: Rt Hon Sir George Pearce (1870-1952), Senator 1901-38
(longest-serving Senator)
North and east of Perth: Lansdale, Merriwa, Mindarie, Wanneroo, Yanchep
State seats: All of
Butler and
Wanneroo, parts of
Landsdale,
Burns Beach,
Swan Hills and
West Swan
Local government areas: Parts of
Swan and
Wanneroo
Borders with:
Cowan,
Durack,
Hasluck and
Moore
Enrolment at 2019 election: 119,588
Enrolment at 2022 election: 115,296 (-03.6%)
1999 republic referendum: No 62.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 63.9
Sitting member: Hon Christian Porter (Liberal):
Elected 2013, 2016, 2019. Retiring 2022
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 9.1%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.9%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.1%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.6%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.5%
2022 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 5.2%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Mindarie (67.0), Mindarie North (61.8), Wanneroo West (61.6),
Wanneroo PPVC (61.2), Madeley (60.3)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Clarkson West (57.2), Banksia Grove North (54.8),
Butler South (54.7), Alkimos (53.4), Banksia Grove (51.4)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Roz Stewart
Great Australian Party |
2. Donna Nelson
Australian Greens |
3. Dave Marshall
Liberal Democrats |
4. Tracey Roberts
Australian Labor Party |
5. Trevor Dalby
United Australia Party |
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6. Jim Paice
Western Australia Party |
7. Aaron Malloy
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
8. Linda Aitken
Liberal Party |
9. Vanessa Montgomery
Australian Christians |
10. Nigel March
Australian Federation Party |
Candidate websites:
Linda Aitken
Trevor Dalby
Aaron Malloy
Nigel March
Dave Marshall
Vanessa Montgomery
Donna Nelson
Jim Paice
Tracey Roberts
Roz Stewart
Division of Pearce
Pearce was created in 1990, in the outer eastern and northern suburbs of Perth, one of the fastest-growing areas in
Australia. The 2004 redistribution extended it into rural areas south-east of Perth, but the bulk of its votes have always been
cast in the Perth suburbs. It is a classic mortgage belt seat, with the second-highest proportion of dwellings being purchased
of any seat, and a high level of families with dependent children. It also has the high level of people born in the UK
typical of Perth seats.
Pearce was won in 1990 by
Fred Chaney, a senior Liberal who had been a Senator since 1974. He quit in frustration at the
state of the Liberal Party in 1993, and was succeeded by
Judi Moylan, who was a minister in the first Howard Government.
After she was dropped from the ministry in 1998 she became a backbench dissident, particularly on immigration issues,
until her retirement in 2013.
Christian Porter, Liberal MP for Pearce since 2013, was a lawyer, state prosecutor and law lecturer before he entered
politics. He was a WA state MP from 2008 to 2013 and was Attorney-General and then Treasurer in the state government.
Once in Canberra he was rapidly promoted and became Attorney-General in December 2017.
In January 2021, Porter was accused of having raped a 16-year-old girl in 1988, when he was 17. He denied the claim and sued
media organisations which made the allegation public. In March Prime Minister
Morrison moved him to the position of
Minister for Industry, Science and Technology. In September he resigned from the ministry and in December announced that he would
not recontest his seat.
The 2021 redistribution removed all of the eastern suburban and rural areas of the seat, leaving only the outer northern
suburbs, centered on Butler and Merriwa, and added suburban territory around Lansdale and Wanneroo transferred from
Cowan.
This cut the Liberal majority to 5.2%, making the seat marginal, and likely to become more so as suburban growth continues.
The new Liberal candidate in Linda Aitken, a nurse and Wanneroo councillor. The Labor candidate is Tracey Roberts, the Mayor of Wanneroo.
The state seats in this area produced huge swings to Labor at the 2021 state election. This was
entirely due to state issues and should not be taken as an indicator that similar results can be expected in WA at a federal election.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,658 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 10.6% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 2.2% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 56.4% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 15.2% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 19.3% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 33.8% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 13.1% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 25.1% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 28.0% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: 3.7% (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 55.1% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 22.0% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 39.6% (Australia 32.8%)
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