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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Menzies, Victoria
Named for: Rt Hon Sir Robert Menzies (1894-1978), Vic MP 1928-34,
federal MP 1934-66, Prime Minister 1939-41, 1949-66 (longest-serving
prime minister)
Eastern Melbourne: Blackburn, Bulleen, Doncaster, Templestowe, Warrandyte
State seats: All of
Bulleen, parts of
Box Hill,
Ringwood and
Warrandyte
Local government areas: All of
Manningham, parts of
Nillumbik and
Whitehorse
Borders with:
Casey,
Chisholm,
Deakin,
Jagajaga and
Kooyong
Enrolment at 2019 election: 107,834
Enrolment at 2022 election: 112,876 (+04.7)
1999 republic referendum: Yes 59.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 57.0
Sitting member: Hon Kevin Andrews (Liberal):
Elected 1991 by-election, 1993, 1996, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019. Retiring 2022
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.0%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.7%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 14.5%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 10.8%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.5%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 7.0%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Wonga Park (67.6), Donvale (65.9), Templestowe Park (64.4), Doncaster East PPVC (64.0),
Park Orchards (64.0)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Warrandyte North (61.3), Box Hill (58.1), Blackburn North (57.8), Blackburn
Upper (54.4), Mitcham North (52.5)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
1. Naomi Oakley
Australian Labor Party |
2. Sanjeev Sabhlok
Australian Federation Party |
3. Greg Cheesman
Liberal Democrats |
4. John Hayes
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
 |
 |
 |
5. Keith Wolahan
Liberal Party |
6. Bill Pheasant
Australian Greens |
7. Nathan Scaglione
United Australia Party |
Candidate websites:
Greg Cheesman
Naomi Oakley
Bill Pheasant
Sanjeev Sabhlok
Nathan Scaglione
Keith Wolahan
Division of Menzies
Menzies was created in 1984, when the old seat of
Diamond Valley,
a key marginal in the 1970s, was
abolished. It took in the more middle-class and more Liberal-voting parts of the seat, based on Doncaster
and Templestowe, and subsequent redistributions have expanded it further to the east into new upper-income
suburbia such as Warrandyte. It has the high level of median family income and the high proportion of
people in professional and managerial occupations typical of such seats, while also having a higher level of families with
dependent children and of dwellings being purchased than inner-city upper-income seats like Kooyong. It also
has quite a high proportion (42.7%) of non English speaking households: higher than any Liberal-held seat except
Bennelong and
Chisholm.
Although Menzies was seriously contested in the 1980s, it has grown stronger for the Liberals as the area has
grown wealthier. Members for Menzies have been
Neil Brown (previously member for Diamond Valley and a
minister in the Fraser Government) and Kevin Andrews, who won the 1991 by-election which followed Brown's
resignation.
Kevin Andrews, Liberal MP for Menzies since 1991, was a barrister and legal academic before entering politics.
He was on the opposition front bench from 1992 and was a minister in the Howard Government, ending as
Minister for Immigration. He was an opposition frontbencher from 2009 to 2013, and successively Minister for
Social Services and Minister for Defence in the Abbott Government. He was dropped by
Malcolm Turnbull in
September 2015. Since the retirement of
Phillip Ruddock in 2016 Andrews has been the longest-serving member of the
House.* In early 2021 he was defeated for Liberal preselection by Keith Wolahan, a barrister and former Army officer.
The 2021 redistribution has moved Menzies southwards, taking in more marginal territory in parts of Blackburn and Mitcham, previously
in Chisholm. This has reduced the Liberal majority without putting the seat at any real risk for the Liberals. The Labor candidate is
Naomi Oakley, a business operator and former police officer. The Greens candidate is Bill Pheasant, who has "a career in communications."
* Warren Snowden was first elected in 1987, but he was out of Parliament between 1996 and 1998, so he doesn't
qualify as the longest-serving member.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,701 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 19.9% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 59.3% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 15.5%, Italian 7.7%
Non-English-speaking households: 42.7% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 31.4% (Australia 22.6%)
Orthodox Christian 7.7%
No religion 31.4% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 31.2% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 44.0% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 21.1% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 34.5% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 17.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 42.5% (Australia 32.8%)
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