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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Deakin, Victoria
Named for: Hon Alfred Deakin (1856-1919), Vic MP 1879, 1880-1900,
federal MP 1901-13, Prime Minister 1903-04, 1905-08, 1909-10, Leader
of the Opposition 1908-09, 1910-12.
Eastern Melbourne: Croydon, Forest Hill, Heathmont, Ringwood, Vermont
State seats: Parts of
Bayswater,
Croydon,
Forest Hill and
Ringwood
Local government areas: All of
Maroondah, parts of
Whitehorse
Borders with: Aston,
Casey,
Chisholm,
Menzies
Enrolment at 2019 election: 107,534
Enrolment at 2022 election: 112,589 (+04.7)
1999 republic referendum: Yes 52.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 65.7
Sitting member: Hon Michael Sukkar (Liberal):
Elected 2013, 2016, 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.4%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 2.4%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.2%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.7%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 4.8%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 4.7%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Yarra Road (63.6), Croydon PPVC (62.5), Croydon Hills (60.9),
Ringwood North (58.5), Ringwood PPVC (58.2)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Kilsyth East (58.1), Alexandra Road (55.3) Antonio Park (55.3),
Burwood Heights (54.9), Bedford Park (54.7)
209 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Matt Gregg
Australian Labor Party |
2. Rob Humphreys
Australian Greens |
3. Qian Liu
Independent |
4. Katherine Dolheguy
Animal Justice Party |
5. Harrison Carr
Liberal Democrats |
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6. Hon Michael Sukkar
Liberal Party |
7. Judith Thompson
Derryn Hinch's Justice Party |
8. Biana Gidley
United Australia Party |
9. Samantha Bastin
Australian Federation Party |
10. Natasha Coughlin
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
Candidate websites:
Samantha Bastin
Harrison Carr
Katherine Dolheguy
Biana Gidley
Matt Gregg
Rob Humphreys
Hon Michael Sukkar
Judith Thompson
Division of Deakin
Deakin was created in 1937, originally as a rural seat to the north-east of Melbourne, and has gradually been
reduced by successive redistributions to a block of suburbs centered on Croydon and Ringwood. Despite being in the
outer suburbs, it is not a mortgage belt seat: it has an average level of families with dependent children and of
dwellings being purchased. Its higher-than-average level level of over-65s also suggest a stable, ageing population.
Deakin is remarkable for its social and political homogeneity: in all recent elections, the major parties each
polled between 45 and 60% of the two-party vote at nearly every booth. Nevertheless, Labor is somewhat stronger in
the older, western end of the seat, while the Liberals are stronger in Croydon and Ringwood, at the
newer, eastern end, as well as Vermont in the south-west of the seat.
The seat's solidly middle-class, home-owning character has made it politically very stable. Since 1969 it has always
been a marginal seat, but Labor has only held it twice: in 1983, when the veteran Liberal member
Alan Jarman stayed
on too long and lost to Labor's
John Saunderson, and in the Rudd tide of 2007, when Labor's
Mike Symon defeated
the sitting Liberal
Phil Barresi. Symon was re-elected in 2010, but was defeated in the 2013 swing to the Liberals.
Michael Sukkar, Liberal MP for Deakin since 2013, is a lawyer and tax accountant. He was a senior associate with
one of Australia's largest law firms before entering politics. He is of Lebanese Christian descent. He was
comfortably re-elected in 2016. He was appointed Assistant Minister to the Treasurer in January 2017, but was dropped
by Prime Minister Morrison in August 2018, following his role as one of the main organisers of the campaign to
depose Malcolm Turnbull. He was reprieved by Scott Morrison and is now Minister for Housing and Minister for Homelessness,
Social and Community Housing *
The 2021 redistribution has added more territory in Blackburn, slightly improving Labor's position. Labor won
three of the four state electorates in this area at the 2018 election, showing that the Liberals could lose Deakin in the
circumstances. The Labor candidate is Matt Gregg, a teacher. The Greens candidate is Rob Humphreys, whose occupation is
not stated.
* A good example of the recent trend to inflated and meaningless portfolio names.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,522 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 18.0% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 65.3% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 9.4%
Non-English-speaking households: 27.8% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 19.0% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 35.7% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 30.5% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 41.3% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 22.2% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: % (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 36.2% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 25.3% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 35.5% (Australia 32.8%)
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