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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Macnamara, Victoria
Named for: Dame Jean Macnamara (1899-1968), medical
scientist and children's health advocate
Inner Melbourne: Albert Park, Caulfield, Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, St Kilda
State seats: Parts of
Albert Park,
Brighton,
Caulfield and
Prahran
Local government areas: All of
Port Phillip, parts of
Glen Eira and
Melbourne
Borders with:
Gellibrand,
Goldstein,
Higgins and
Melbourne
Enrolment at 2019 election: 113,809
Enrolment at 2022 election: 110,676 (-02.5)
1999 republic referendum: Yes 65.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 82.0
Sitting member: Josh Burns (Labor):
Elected 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.2% *
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.6% *
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.6% *
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.3% *
2019 Labor majority over Liberal: 6.3%
2022 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 6.1%%
* as Melbourne Ports
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Marginal Labor
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: St Kilda (78.3), Acland (74.3), St Kilda North (73.8), Blessington (73.1), Elwood North (72.6)
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Caulfield (58.9), Caulfield North (54.4), Port Melbourne Beach (51.2), Caulfield East (45.6), Elsternwick North (45.4)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. John Myers
Independent |
2. Colleen Harkin
Liberal Party |
3. Josh Burns
Australian Labor Party |
4. Debera Anne
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
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5. Rob McCathie
Liberal Democrats |
6. Ben Schultz
Animal Justice Party |
7. Steph Hodgins-May
Australian Greens |
8. Jane Hickey
United Australia Party |
Candidate websites:
Josh Burns
Colleen Harkin
Jane Hickey
Steph Hodgins-May
Rob McCathie
Ben Schultz
Division of Macnamara
Macnamara was created at the 2018 redistribution, when the Federation seat of
Melbourne Ports was renamed. By then it had become
one of the most radically changed of the federation seats, both in terms of its boundaries and its social composition. As Macnamara, it
is now a wealthy, cosmopolitan, and highly-marginal inner-city seat. Once based in Melbourne's working-class heartland in the western
suburbs, after 1969 Melbourne Ports extended eastwards to St Kilda, while in 1990 the wealthy suburb of Caulfield was added. This put it
in the top 10% of electorates in terms of median income level and proportion of people in professional
occupations. Yet it continued to elect a Labor member, as it has done since 1906, although since 1990 it has been highly marginal.
This is partly because many of its high-income residents in suburbs like St Kilda hold left-wing views, and partly because the electorate
is about 15% Jewish, and
many Jewish voters who would otherwise vote Liberal supported successive Jewish Labor members.
Voting patterns in Macnamara reflect the demographic changes in this area. Once solidly working-class Port Melbourne and South Melbourne are
now wealthy suburbs and politically marginal, while St Kilda and Elwood, once middle-class and firmly Liberal, are now the Labor bedrock in
this seat. Even in 2013, Labor polled more than 60% of the two-party vote in all the St Kilda booths. But in recent years much of Labor's
support has come only as second preferences from the Greens, who now outpoll Labor in some areas such as St Kilda.
Members for Melbourne Ports included Labor Cabinet ministers
Jack Holloway,
Frank Crean (Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam
Government) and
Clyde Holding.
Michael Danby, who was first elected in 1998, was a Parliamentary Secretary in the last year of the
Rudd-Gillard Government.
The Green vote in Melbourne Ports rose from 5.2% in 1996 to 23.9% in 2016. At that election Danby polled 26.9%, the lowest primary vote
ever polled by a successful Labor candidate. He narrowly avoided being pushed into third place by the Greens, and only just held off the
Liberals. He retired in 2019.
Josh Burns, Labor MP for Macnamara since 2019, worked as an adviser to Danby and then to Premier
Daniel Andrews. At the 2019 election
he maintained most of Danby's support in Caulfield while gaining a large swing to Labor in the western half of the seat.
The Liberal candidate, Christopher Ride, withdrew in March for unknown reasons, and was replaced by Colleen Harkin,
a teacher and IT consultant. The Greens candidate will again be Steph Hodgins-May, a lawyer who contested Ballarat in 2013, Melbourne Ports in 2016 and
Macnamara in 2019.
Demographics (2019 boundaries):
Median weekly household income: $1,866 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 12.2% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 54.5% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 5.6%
Non-English-speaking households: 27.5% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 15.8% (Australia 22.6%)
Jewish religion: 9.9%
No religion 38.8% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 44.6% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 57.5% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 13.3% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 23.1% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 52.3% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 17.7% (Australia 32.8%)
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