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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Lyons, Tasmania
Named for: Rt Hon Joseph Lyons (1879-1939), Tas MP 1909-29,
Premier 1923-28, federal MP 1929-39, Prime Minister 1932-39: and his
wife, Hon Dame Enid Lyons (1897-1981), federal MP 1943-51 (first
woman MP and first woman minister)
Central Tasmania: Brighton, Longford, New Norfolk, Sorrell, St Helens
State seats: All of
Lyons
Local government areas: All of
Break O'Day,
Brighton,
Derwent Valley,
Glamorgan-Spring Bay,
Kentish,
Meander Valley,
Northern Midlands,
Sorell,
Southern Midlands and
Tasman, parts of
Clarence
Borders with:
Bass,
Braddon,
Clark and
Franklin
Enrolment at 2019 election: 79,657
Enrolment at 2022 election: 85,243 (+07.0)
1999 republic referendum: No 66.5
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 58.7
>h2>
Sitting member: Brian Mitchell (Labor):
Elected 2016, 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 8.8%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 12.3%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.2%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 2.3%
2019 Labor majority over Liberal: 5.2%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status: Marginal Labor
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Gagebrook (74.0), Carlton (70.2), Lachlan (69.5), Dodges Ferry (68.4),
Bridgewater (68.1)
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Bracknell (66.4), Lower Barrington (64.0), Hagley (63.7), Carrick (61.0),
Epping Forest (57.8)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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 |
 |
 |
1. Susie Bower
Liberal Party |
2. Rhys Griffiths
Liberal Democrats |
3. Brian Mitchell
Australian Labor Party |
4. Dr Anna Gralton
Animal Justice Party |
 |
 |
 |
 |
5. Jason Evans
United Australia Party |
6. Troy Pfitzner
Jacquie Lambie Network |
7. Emma Goyne
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
8. Liz Johnstone
Australian Greens |
Candidate websites:
Suzie Bower
Jason Evans
Dr Anna Gralton
Emma Goyne
Dr Anna Gralton
Rhys Griffiths
Liz Johnstone
Brian Mitchell
Rohan Peterson
Troy Pfitzner
Division of Lyons
Lyons was created in 1984, when the old electorate of
Wilmot, which had existed since 1903, was renamed. At various
times this electorate has occupied most parts of Tasmania: since 1984 it has extended from the northern suburbs of
Hobart north to Port Sorrell and east to the coastal towns of St Helens and St Marys. It has among Australia's
lowest levels of median income, and lowest proportions of graduates and people in professional and managerial positions.
It also has the lowest level of non English speaking households of any seat: it is probably the most monocultural
electorate in Australia.
Lyons is thus largely working-class but also parochial and conservative. The future of the timber industry has been
an important issue in this seat. Labor's strength lies in the semi-suburban areas north and west of Hobart, such as
Bridgewater and New Norfolk, as well as in the timber and mining towns. The Liberals dominate the farming areas of
the north. The 2018 redistribution removed the Liberal-inclined Tamar Valley, improving Labor's position.
The old seat of Wilmot was held by Prime Minister
Joe Lyons from 1928 to 1939: it was renamed after him and his
wife,
Dame Enid, in 1984.
Dick Adams, a former state minister, won Lyons for Labor in 1993. Adams had a large personal vote,
which is why Labor retained this seat in the face of the adverse swing in 2004 caused by
Mark Latham's anti-logging
forestry policy.
The defeat of Adams in 2013 after 20 years - largely due to the unpopularity of the Labor-Greens coalition state
government - was the biggest upset of the 2013 election. But
Eric Hutchinson, the Liberal who defeated Adams, was
unable to entrench himself, and in 2016 he was defeated by Brian Mitchell.
Brian Mitchell, Labor MP for Lyons since 2016, was born in the UK and educated in WA. He worked as a journalist and
editor, and as a staffer to long-serving Labor MP
Duncan Kerr. More recently he has run a media consultancy company. He
got a swing towards him in 2019 and is now reasonably secure in this seat - although the defeat of Dick Adams should be a
warning against complacency.
The Liberal candidate is Susie Bower, a Meander Valley councillor and chief executive of the Bell Bay Advanced
Manufacturing Zone. The Greens candidate is Liz Johnstone, whose occupation is not stated.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $981 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 20.8% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 4.8% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 82.2% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 3.1% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 14.7% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 35.5% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 9.5% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 25.9% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 27.2% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: 14.5% (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 34.5% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 22.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 25.7% (Australia 32.8%)
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