|
|
|
|
| Adam Carr's Election Archive
|
Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Lyne, New South Wales
Named for: Rt Hon Sir William Lyne (1844-1913), NSW MP 1880-1901,
Premier 1899-1901, federal MP 1901-13
North Coast New South Wales: Dungog, Forster, Gloucester, Taree, Wauchope
State seats: All of
Myall Lakes, parts of
Maitland,
Oxley,
Port Macquarie,
Port Stephens and
Upper Hunter
Local government areas: All of
Dungog and
Mid-Coast,
parts of
Maitland,
Port Macquarie-Hastings and
Port Stephens
Borders with:
Cowper,
Hunter,
New England and
Paterson
Enrolment at 2019 election: 118,865
Enrolment at 2022 election: 124,687 (+04.9)
1999 republic referendum: No 61.6
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 55.3
Sitting member: Hon Dr David Gillespie (Nationals):
Elected 2013, 2016, 2019
2007 Nationals majority over Labor: 8.6%
2008 by-election Independent majority over Nationals: 23.9
2010 Independent majority over Nationals: 12.7%
2013 Nationals majority over Labor: 14.8%
2016 Nationals majority over Labor: 11.6%
2019 Nationals majority over Labor: 15.2%
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019
Status:Safe Nationals
Best Nationals booths, two-party vote: Comboyne (81.7), Lorne (80.4), Rolands Plains (79.9), Long Flat (78.7),
Burrell Creek (78.2)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Elands (72.3), Purfleet (52.5), Marlee (50.9), Lorn (50.5), Taree North (49.0)
2019 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
1. Joanne Pearce
Independent |
2. Joel Putland
United Australia Party |
3. Hon Dr David Gillespie
The Nationals |
4. Alex Simpson
Australian Labor Party |
 |
 |
 |
 |
5. Steve Atkins
Independent |
6. Mark Hornshaw
Liberal Democrats |
7. Josephine Cashman
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
8. Karl Attenborough
Australian Greens |
Candidate websites:
Karl Attenborough
Josephine Cashman
Hon Dr David Gillespie
Mark Hornshaw
Joanne Pearce
Joel Putland
Alex Simpson
Division of Lyne
Lyne was created in 1949, on the NSW north coast, running from Kempsey to Port Stephens. It has been cut back by
successive redistributions as the coast has grown rapidly, and now consists largely of the Taree and Tuncurry-Forster
areas, with some Maitland suburbs at its southern end. Although it contains a number of farming communities, it is
mainly a tourism and retirement area: only 7.4% of its population are engaged in agriculture, while more than 27% are
aged over 65, the highest proportion of any electorate. This combination gives it the second-lowest median
household income of any electorate. It is also a very monocultural seat, with the second-lowest level of
non English speaking households of any electorate.
Until 2008, Lyne had been held by the Country Party and its successor the Nationals since it was created.
Mark Vaile won it for the Nationals in 1993. He was a minister in the Howard Government and became Leader of the Nationals
and Deputy Prime Minister on the retirement of
John Anderson in 2005. He resigned his seat after the 2007 election
defeat, and the by-election was won by
Rob Oakeshott, an independent who had been state MP for Port Macquarie since
1996. After the 2010 election Oakeshott joined with
Tony Windsor in supporting the minority Gillard Labor
Government. He would have had little hope of retaining Lyne in 2013, and instead chose to retire.
Dr David Gillespie, Nationals MP for Lyne since 2013, was a gastroenterologist and consultant physician, and also
a farmer, before his election. The 2016 redistribution removed Port Macquarie from the seat, and instead
extended it southwards to take in all the rural parts of Paterson, including Dungog, Tuncurry-Forster and some
suburbs of Maitland. The Nationals majority was slightly reduced, but Gillespie easily retained the seat in 2016.
He was made an assistant minister in 2016 but was returned to the back bench in 2018. Since July 2021 he has been
Minister for Regional Health. The Labor candidate is Alex Simpson, works in the energy sector.
The Greens candidate is Karl Attenborough, a retired police officer.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $967 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 27.6% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 5.5% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 83.2% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 3.6% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 20.2% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 23.8% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 11.0% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 29.0% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 26.1% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: 7.4% (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 27.6% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 22.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 23.6% (Australia 32.8%)
Back to main page
|
|
