Psephos - Adam Carr's Election Archive

Adam Carr's Election Archive

Australian federal election, 2022
Division of Ballarat, Victoria

Named for: City of Ballarat, originally spelled Ballaarat, named by William Yuille in 1838 (Indigenous word meaning "resting place")


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Central Victoria: Ballarat, Creswick, Daylesford, Lethbridge, Linton
State seats: All of Wendouree, parts of Buninyong, Macedon, Polwarth, Ripon
Local government areas: All of Ballarat and Hepburn, parts of Golden Plains and Moorabool
Borders with: Bendigo, Corangamite, Corio, Hawke, McEwen, Mallee and Wannon
Enrolment at 2019 election: 114,954
Enrolment at 2022 election: 110,704 (-03.7)

1999 republic referendum: No 59.1
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 70.5

Sitting member: Hon Catherine King (Labor): Elected 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019

2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 8.2%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.7%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 4.9%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 7.3%
2019 Labor majority over Liberal: 11.0%
2022 Notional Labor majority over Liberal: 10.3%

Liberal two-party vote 1983-2019

Status: Fairly safe Labor


Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Wendouree West (76.9), Soldiers Hill (74.0), Canadian (71.6), Mount Pleasant (70.5), Daylesford (70.4)
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Bungaree (67.8), Rokewood (66.7), Learmonth (54.8), Lethbridge (50.6), Newlyn (49.2)


  • 2019 results
  • Statistics and history

  • Candidates in ballot-paper order:

    1. John Barnes
    Australian Greens
    2. Ben Green
    Liberal Party
    3. Alex Graham
    Independent
    4. Kerryn Sedgman
    Australian Federation Party
    5. Terri Pryse-Smith
    United Australia Party
    6. Rosalie Taxis
    Pauline Hanson's One Nation
    7. Julia McGrath
    Liberal Democrats
    8. Hon Catherine King
    Australian Labor Party

    Candidate websites:

    Alex Graham
    Ben Green
    Chris Kelly
    Hon Catherine King
    Julia McGrath
    Terri Pryse-Smith
    Kerryn Sedgman

    Division of Ballarat

    Ballarat (which was spelled Ballaarat until 1977) has existed since Federation, and has always taken in a block of territory centering on the regional city of Ballarat. Like most regional seats, it has a fairly low relative income level, and a low proportion of people born in non English speaking countries. Being close to Melbourne and subject to suburbanisation, it also has a high proportion of families with dependent children and dwellings being purchased. Labor's strength lies the eastern and southern parts of the city of Ballarat, plus smaller centres such as Daylesford and Creswick which have been heavily colonised by exurbanites and pursuers of alternative lifetsyles.

    Ballarat's most distinguished member has been Prime Minister Alfred Deakin, who held it from Federation until 1913. After being a marginal seat in the 1940s and early '50s, it became a stronghold of the DLP and was safe for the Liberals for 25 years after the 1955 Labor Split. Labor finally regained the seat in 1980. Since then it has grown steadily better for Labor, and has not elected a Liberal since 1998.

    The 2021 redistribution has removed the Bacchus Marsh and Ballan areas, which have gone into the new seat of Hawke, and extended the seat to the south-west into rural areas previously in Corangamite and Wannon. This has reduced the Labor margin from 11% to about 10%. But central Victoria has been steadily improving for Labor at both state and federal levels for the past 20 years, and King seems fairly secure in this seat.

    Catherine King, Labor MP for Ballarat since 2001, won the seat against the trend of the 2001 election: Ballarat was the only seat captured by Labor from the Howard Government at that election. She survived a sharp swing to the Liberals at the 2013 election and now seems secure in the seat. She was a social worker and public servant before entering politics. She was a shadow parliamentary secretary from 2004 and a minister through the Rudd-Gillard Government, ending as Regional Services, Local Communities and Territories. She is now Shadow Minister for Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Development. The Libreral candidate is Ben Green, a lawyer. The Greens candidate is John Barnes, a former Mayor of Ballarat.


    Demographics:

    Median weekly household income: $1,191 (Australia $1,438)
    People over 65: 17.5% (Australia 15.8%)
    Australian born: 82.3% (Australia 66.7%)
    Non-English-speaking households: 7.0% (Australia 22.2%)
    Catholics 24.6% (Australia 22.6%)
    No religion 37.0% (Australia 29.6%)
    University graduates: 17.9% (Australia 22.0%)
    Professional and managerial employment: 31.8% (Australia 35.2%)
    Employed in manufacturing and construction: 28.1% (Australia 22.9%)
    Employed in agriculture: 3.9% (Australia 3.3%)
    Paying a mortgage: 36.3% (Australia 34.5%)
    Renting: 26.5% (Australia 30.9%)
    Traditional families: 29.0% (Australia 32.8%)



    Gallery of Members for Ballarat



    Boundaries following most recent redistribution:



    See full-size map of this Division



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