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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Swan, Western Australia
Southern Perth: Belmont, Cannington, High Wycombe, South Perth, Welshpool
State seats: All of
South Perth and
Victoria Park, parts of
Belmont,
Cannington and
Forrestfield
Local government areas: All of Belmont, South Perth and Victoria Park, parts of Canning, Kalamunda and Swan
Enrolment at close of rolls: 100,781
1999 republic referendum: No 56.8
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 64.7
Sitting member: Hon Steve Irons (Liberal):
Elected 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 0.1%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 2.3%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.5%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.6%
Status: Very marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: South Perth (71.0), South Perth North (70.4), Como South (68.2),
South Perth Central (67.9), Manning East (67.1)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Bentley South (61.2), Cloverdale North (61.2), Cloverdale West (58.3),
Cannington (58.2), Queens Park (58.0)
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Hon Steve Irons
Liberal Party |
2. Steve Klomp
Australian Christians |
3. Virginia Thomas-Wurth
Animal Justice Party |
4. Carmel Addink
Fraser Anning's Conservative
National Party |
5. Sharron Hawkins Zeeb
Western Australian Party |
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6. Liberty Cramer
Australian Greens |
7. Michael Chehoff
Australia First Party |
8. Peter McLernon
United Australia Party |
9. Tshung-Hui Chang
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
10. Hannah Beazley
Australian Labor Party |
Candidate websites:
Hannah Beazley
Liberty Cramer
Hon Steve Irons
Division of Swan
Swan has existed since Federation, but from 1901 to 1949 it was a rural seat based in the upper Swan valley and the Wheat
Belt, with no connection with the current seat. The seat was effectively re-created in 1949, based in the southern
riverside suburbs, and in this form has always been a highly marginal seat, combining as it does strong Liberal areas in
South Perth with Labor strongholds such as Bentley and Victoria Park. Swan has a medium level of median family income and a
fairly high level of people in non English speaking households. It also has a low level of families with dependent
children, so it is not a mortgage belt seat.
For its first 18 years Swan was held by Sir John Forrest, the first Premier of WA, one of the fathers of Federation and Treasurer
in successive non-Labor governments, but thwarted in his ambition to be Prime
Minister. Kim Beazley, later Deputy Prime Minister, won Swan for Labor in 1980. During the 1980s he built up a strong position in
the seat, but was nearly defeated in 1993 and moved to Brand in 1996, leaving Swan to fall to the Liberals. Kim Wilkie
regained the seat for Labor in 1998, but inexplicably lost it to the Liberals in 2007, the year of Labor's return to
office.
Steve Irons, Liberal MP for Swan since 2007, was a company director before his election. For most his time in Parliament he
has been a largely invisible
backbencher. He increased his majority in 2010 and 2013, but suffered a 2.9% swing against him in 2016. In
August 2018 he was appointed Assistant Minister to the Prime Minister.
The
Labor candidate in 2019 will be Hannah Beazley, daughter of Kim Beazley, and her family name will give her a considerable
boost.* She has held senior management roles in the education sector, and has been a policy advisor and speechwriter to
Labor Premiers Dr Geoff Gallop and Mark McGowan. The Greens candidate is Liberty Cramer, a "learning designer" at
the University of Western Australia. The Australian Christians candidate is Steve Klomp, whose occupation is not stated.
* She is also the grand-daughter of Kim Beazley Sr, a long-serving Labor MP and minister. Is she wins, the Beazleys will
become the first three-generation Labor dynasty in the federal parliament. There have already been two on the non-Labor
side, the Anthonys and the Downers.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,527 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 13.3% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 50.5% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 7.2%
Non-English-speaking households: 29.9% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 21.8% (Australia 22.6%)
Muslim 5.4%
No religion 30.6% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 28.6% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 36.4% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 18.8% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 31.0% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 40.2% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 25.9% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Rt Hon Sir John Forrest (Prot, WAP, Lib, Nat) 1901-18
Edwin Corboy (ALP) 1918b-19
John Prowse (CP) 1919-22
Henry Gregory (CP) 1922-40
Thomas Marwick (CP, Ind) 1940b-43
Donald Mountjoy (ALP) 1943-46
Leonard Hamilton (CP) 1946-49
Bill Grayden (Lib) 1949-54
Harry Webb (ALP) 1954-55
Richard Cleaver (Lib) 1955-69
Adrian Bennett (ALP) 1969-75
John Martyr (Lib) 1975-80
Hon Kim Beazley (ALP) 1980-96
Don Randall (Lib) 1996-98
Kim Wilkie (ALP) 1998-2007
Steve Irons (Lib) 2007-
Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:
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