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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Sydney, New South Wales
Central Sydney: Glebe, Newtown, Rosebery, Surry Hills, Sydney
State seats: Parts of
Balmain,
Heffron,
Newtown and
Sydney
Local government areas: All of Sydney, parts of Marrickville
Enrolment at close of rolls: 114,239
1999 republic referendum: Yes 67.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 83.7
Sitting member: Hon Tanya Plibersek (Labor):
Elected 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 19.5%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 17.1%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 14.7%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 15.3%
Status: Safe Labor
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Jacqui Munro
Liberal Party |
2. Aaron Hammond
Science Party |
3. Hon Tanya Plibersek
Australian Labor Party |
4. Adam Holt
United Australia Party |
5. Matthew Thompson
Australian Greens |
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6. Rebecca Reddin
Christian Democratic Party |
Candidate websites:
Hon Tanya Plibersek
Jacqui Munro
Matthew Thompson
Division of Sydney
Sydney was created in 1969, when the old Labor strongholds of Dalley, East Sydney* and West Sydney were amalgamated due to
their rapidly falling populations. The seat takes in Sydney's inner suburban area, which 50 years ago was hard-core working
class, in places verging on slums, but today is one of Australia's wealthiest areas, colonised by high-income prefessionals,
most of them single or at least childless.
Sydney has Australia's lowest proportion of families with dependent children,
and its fourth-lowest proportion of dwellings being purchased, and it also has Australia's second-highest proportion of
flat-dwellers. This partly reflects the large gay and lesbian community in Darlinghurst and Surry Hills, but there are
many heterosexual singles here as well. The seat does still have pockets of poverty, particularly in Redfern, and some
working-class areas in the south.
Not surprisingly, Sydney has always been one of the safest Labor seats in Australia, although now much of that support
comes as second preferences via the Greens, who polled 18.8% here in 2016. The Greens would have some chance of winning
this seat if the Labor vote fell to 40%, but so far they have not succeeded even in coming second, let alone winning.
Sydney is the wealthiest seat held by Labor, but that does not seem to be weakening Labor's grip.
Tanya Plibersek, Labor MP for Sydney since 1998, the daughter of Slovenian immigrants, worked for the Domestic Violence
Unit of the NSW Ministry for the Status of Women before her election. She was on the opposition frontbench from 2004.
She was successively Minister for Housing, for Human Services and for Health in the Rudd-Gillard Government.
After the
2013 election Plibersek was elected Labor Deputy Leader, making her the senior figure in the party's left-wing. Plibersek's high
profile and status as a leader of the left will help keep this seat safe from the Greens. She is now Shadow Minister for
Women and Shadow Minister for Education and Training.
The Liberal candidate is Jacqui Munro, whose occupation is not stated. The Greens candidate in 2019 is Matthew Thompson, a TAFE student, who was attacked in The Daily Telegraph for his
openly gay lifestyle as documented on Instagram. This will do him no harm this seat, but he will still find it hard to
compete with Plibersek's high progressive profile. The Science Party's candidate is Aaron Hammond, an electronics
engineer.
* East Sydney was the seat of Prime Minister Sir George Reid.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,933 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 7.7% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 39.2% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Chinese 13.9%
Non-English-speaking households: 37.1% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 15.1% (Australia 22.6%)
Buddhism: 7.2%
No religion 43.7% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 43.8% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 54.2% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 8.4% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 20.1% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 62.2% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 11.3% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Jim Cope (ALP) 1969-75
Les McMahon (ALP) 1975-83
Hon Peter Baldwin (ALP) 1983-98
Hon Tanya Plibersek (ALP) 1998-
Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:
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