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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Ryan, Queensland
Western Brisbane: Indooroopilly, Kenmore, Moggill, The Gap, Toowong
State seats: All of
Maiwar and
Moggill, parts of
Cooper and
Ferny Grove
Local government areas: Parts of Brisbane
Enrolment at close of rolls: 106,256
1999 republic referendum: Yes 55.3
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 72.7
Sitting member: Hon Jane Prentice (Liberal):
Elected 2010, 2013, 2016. Retiring 2019
2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.8%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 7.2%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.5%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 9.1%
2019 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 8.8%
Status: Fairly safe Liberal
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Peter Cossar
Australian Labor Party |
2. Larry Crouch
United Australia Party |
3. Joanne Webb
Animal Justice Party |
4. Rodney Miles
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
5. Julian Simmonds
Liberal Party |
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6. Jake Schoermer
Australian Greens |
7. Andrew Banks
Fraser Anning's Conservative
National Party |
Candidate websites:
Peter Cossar
Julian Simmonds
Julian Simmonds
Division of Ryan
Ryan was created in 1949, covering the inner western suburbs of Brisbane, the wealthiest part of the city.
Subsequent redistributions have extended the seat to the west and south, without substantially changing its
character. It has among the highest levels of median family income and of people in professional and
managerial occupations of
any electorate. Unlike most other wealthy inner-city, electorates, however, it also has fairly high levels of families
with dependent children and of dwellings being purchased: it is thus a high-income mortgage belt seat, with
many people paying mortgages on large family homes, a fact which makes them very sensitive to interest rates and
similar economic issues.
Labor has only won Ryan once, at a 2001 by-election at the height of the Howard Government's unpopularity. Apart
from that the seat has been safely Liberal, although none of its members have risen to any great heights. John
Moore was Defence Minister in the Howard government. In 2010
Michael Johnson was dropped as the sitting member after accusations of illegal fundraising. His successor,
Jane Prentice, is now Assistant Minister for Social Services and Disability Services, but she has been
disendorsed for the 2019 election. The Liberal candidate will be Julian Simmonds, a Brisbane City Councillor. The Labor candidate
in 2019 in Peter Cossar, an actor, teacher and producer. The Greens
candidate is Jake Schoermer, a software developer.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,964 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 13.3% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 66.9% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 19.4% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 21.8% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 35.3% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 40.8% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 50.8% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 13.3% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 35.0% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 31.0% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 35.9% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Nigel Drury (Lib) 1949-75
Hon John Moore (Lib) 1975-2001
Leonie Short (ALP) 2001b-01
Michael Johnson (Lib, Ind) 2001-10
Hon Jane Prentice (Lib) 2010-19
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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