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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Scullin, Victoria
Northern Melbourne: Epping, Lalor, Mill Park, South Morang, Thomastown
State seats: Parts of
Bundoora,
Mill Park and
Thomastown
Local government areas: Parts of Whittlesea
Enrolment at close of rolls: 105,180
1999 republic referendum: Yes 56.3
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 53.4
Sitting member: Andrew Giles (Labor):
Elected 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 20.8%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 22.3%
2013 Labor majority over Liberal: 14.3%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 17.3%
2019 notional Labor majority over Liberal: 20.4%
Status: Very safe Labor
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
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1. Andrew Giles
Australian Labor Party |
2. Firas Hasan
United Australia Party |
3. Cynthia Smith
Australian Greens |
4. Rod Whitfield
Animal Justice Party |
5. Gurpal Singh
Liberal Party (disendorsed) |
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6. Yassin Albarri
Independent |
Candidate websites:
Andrew Giles
Gurpal Singh
Cynthia Smith
Division of Scullin
Scullin was created in 1969, when the old seat of Darebin in the northern suburbs of Melbourne was renamed (there was an
earlier seat of Scullin in a different part of Melbourne). The seat was originally based on Preston and Reservoir, but
successive redistribution have pushed it northwards so that now it contains none of its 1969 territory. It is a largely
working-class seat, with anabove-average proportion of its workforce engaged in manufacturing, and also a high proportion
in non English speaking households. It is thus a mulricultural, low-income mortgage belt seat, with a high level of
young families with dependent children and dwellings being purchased in new suburbs such as Epping, Lalor and Mill
Park.
Scullin has always been a safe Labor seat, and was represented by the Jenkins family for 44 years. Dr Harry Jenkins was
Speaker of the House during the first Hawke government. His son Harry Jenkins was Speaker in the Rudd-Gillard Government.
These are the only father-and-son Speakers in the Parliament's history. In 2012 Jenkins was told to resign as Speaker
so the government could instal the renegade Liberal Peter Slipper. He retired in understandable disgust in 2013.
Andrew Giles, Labor MP for Scullin since 2013, was a lawyer with Slater and Gordon before his election, and has also
worked as an adviser to state ministers. Like Jenkins, he is a member of the Left faction of the Victorian ALP. This is
a very safe Labor seat, and has been made safer by the 2018 redistribution.
The Liberal candidate was Gurpal Singh, a barrister and solicitor. A wek beforer the election he was disendorsed after
making offensive remarks. The Greens candidate is Cynthia Smith, whose occupation is not stated.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,434 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 13.3% (Australia 15.8%)
Australian born: 57.7% (Australia 66.7%)
Ancestry: Italian 10.7%, Macedonian 5.2%, Indian 5.0%
Non-English-speaking households: 50.0% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 28.1% (Australia 22.6%)
Orthodox Christian 10.4%, Muslim 7.8%
No religion 20.0% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 18.9% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 27.3% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 29.1% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 40.6% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 21.8% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 44.6% (Australia 32.8%)
Members for Darebin (1949-60) and Scullin (since 1969):
Thomas Andrews (ALP, ALP-AC) 1949-55
Hon Robert Holt (ALP) 1955-58
Frank Courtnay (ALP) 1958-69
Hon Dr Harry Jenkins (ALP) 1969-85
Harry Jenkins (ALP) 1986b-2013
Andrew Giles (ALP) 2013-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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