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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Robertson, New South Wales
Central Coast New South Wales: Avoca Beach, Gosford, Terrigal, Umina, Woy Woy
State seats: All of
Gosford, parts of
Terrigal and
The Entrance
Local government areas: Parts of Gosford
Enrolment at close of rolls: 111,255
1999 republic referendum: No 56.0
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 65.7
Sitting member: Lucy Wicks (Liberal):
Elected 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 0.1%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.0%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.0%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.1%
Status: Very marginal Liberal
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Peats Ridge (73.4), Mangrove Mountain (69.9), Somersby (67.3),
Erina Heights (63.5), Terrigal West (61.7)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Henry Kendall (62.7), Ettalong West (60.8), Ocean Beach (58.7),
Umina Central (58.2), Gosford (57.4)
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Judy Singer
Sustainable Australia |
2. Robert Marks
United Australia Party |
3. Fiona Stucken
Christian Democratic Party |
4. David Abrahams
Independent |
5. Lucy Wicks
Liberal Party |
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6. Cath Connor
Australian Greens |
7. Sean Bremner-Young
Animal Justice Party |
8. Anne Charlton
Australian Labor Party |
Candidate websites:
David Abrahams
Anne Charlton
Cath Connor
Lucy Wicks
Division of Robertson
Robertson has existed since Federation, and was originally a country seat based on Mudgee. Successive redistributions have moved it towards the
coast, and it now contains none of its original territory. Since 1949 it has taken in the Central Coast region, and in 1969 it was cut back to
the Gosford and Wyong areas. Wyong was removed in 1984 and most of the seat's votes are now cast in Gosford, Woy Woy and Ettalong, all popular
tourist and retirement areas.
Robertson has usually been a marginal seat, although the demographic trends on the Central Coast are commonly
said to be favouring the Liberals. It has a fairly high median family income level as a result of the Gosford area being colonised by affluent Sydney
exurbanites. But the
seat also has a high proportion of retirees and pensioners, which gives it its high level of people over 65.
Jim Lloyd won Robertson for the Liberals in 1996. Under the Howard government he became Chief Government Whip and then a junior minister. He was
defeated in 2007 by former Labor Senator Belinda Neal. Her term was marked by a series of gaffes which resulted in her losing her preselection at
the 2010 election. Despite this, Labor's Deb O'Neill held the seat with an increased majority in 2010. In 2013, however, the Liberals regained the
seat. O'Neill later became a NSW Senator.
Lucy Wicks, Liberal MP for Robertson since 2013, was a teacher, electorate officer and Telstra executive before entering politics.
Wicks's Labor opponent in 2019 will be Anne Charlton, O'Neill's former chief of staff. Charlton also ran in 2016, when she
gained a 2% swing. With a Liberal majority of 1.1%, this is a very winnable seat for Labor. The Greens candidate is Cath Connor, who
worked at Wyong Hospital.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,304 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 21.6% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 2.8% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 76.5% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 9.4% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 23.9% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 28.9% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 17.7% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 34.2% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 25.4% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 33.0% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 26.7% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 29.7% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Henry Willis (FT, AS, Lib) 1901-10
William Johnson (ALP) 1910-13
William Fleming (Lib, Nat, CP) 1913-22
Sydney Gardner (Nat, UAP) 1922-40
Hon Eric Spooner (UAP) 1940-43
Thomas Williams (ALP) 1943-49
Roger Dean (Lib) 1949-64
William Bridges-Maxwell (Lib) 1964b-69
Hon Barry Cohen (ALP) 1969-90
Hon Frank Walker (ALP) 1990-96
Hon Jim Lloyd (Lib) 1996-2007
Belinda Neal (ALP) 2007-10
Deb O'Neill (ALP) 2010-13
Lucy Wicks (Lib) 2013-
Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:
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