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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Longman, Queensland
North of Brisbane: Banksia Beach, Burpengary, Caboolture, Morayfield, Narangba
State seats: All of
Morayfield and
Pumicestone, parts of
Bancroft,
Glass House and
Kurwongbah
Local government areas: Parts of Moreton Bay and Sunshine Coast
Enrolment at close of rolls: 114,702
1999 republic referendum: No 66.5
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 60.4
Sitting member: Susan Lamb (Labor):
Elected 2016. Resigned 2018. Elected 2018 by-election
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 3.6%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 1.9%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 6.9%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 0.8%
2018 by-election Labor majority over Liberal: 4.4%
Status: Very marginal Labor
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Mount Mee (64.6), Upper Caboolture (60.6), Bribie Island PPVC (58.3), Wamuran (58.1),
Donnybrook (57.8)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: Morayfield East (65.6), Caboolture South (65.8), Caboolture East (63.8), Caboolture West (61.2),
Morayfield West (60.8)
2016 results
2018 by-election results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Terry Young
Liberal National Party |
2. Bailey Maher
United Australia Party |
3. Jono Young
Australian Progressives |
4. Susan Lamb
Australian Labor Party |
5. Peter Schuback
Australia First Party |
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6. Matthew Thomson
Pauline Hanson's One Nation |
7. Dave Paulkey
Fraser Anning's Conservative
National Party |
8. Simone Dejun
Australian Greens |
Candidate websites:
Simone Dejun
Susan Lamb
Matthew Thomson
Terry Young
Division of Longman
Longman was created in 1996, and was originally a semi-rural seat arching around to the north and west of Brisbane.
Successive redistributions have cut it back to the suburbanising corridor between Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast,
centered on Caboolture. Longman has among the lowest median family income levels, the lowest proportion of people
in non English speaking households, and the lowest proportion of university graduates, in the country.
Although an outer suburban seat, it is not a mortgage belt sat, having a fairly low level of families with dependent
children and dwellings being purchased.
Longman was won in 1996 by Malcolm Brough, who was a parliamentary secretary from 2001 and in Cabinet in the last year of
the Howard Government. In 2007 he was defeated in the Rudd sweep of the Queensland seats. His Labor successor Jon
Sullivan was in turn defeated by the Liberals' Wyatt Roy in 2010. Roy, at 20, was the youngest person ever elected to the
Australian Parliament. He was easily re-elected in 2013 and was a junior minister in the Turnbull Government.
In 2016 Roy was unexpectedly defeated by Labor's Susan Lamb. Labor gained particularly large swings in the suburban corridor
suburbs of Caboolture, Morayfield and Burpengary, while the Bribie Island towns largely stayed Liberal.
In early 2018 it emerged that Lamb had not successfully
renounced a possible claim to British citizenship, arising from her father's birth in Britain. After the High Court's
decision in the case of Senator Katy Gallagher, she resigned her seat and contested the subsequent by-election. During
the campaign it was revealed that her
Liberal opponent, Trevor Ruthenberg, had falsely claimed a Defence medal to which he was not entitled. This, together with
a typical anti-government by-election swing, gave Lamb a comfortable win in the July by-election.
Susan Lamb, Labor MP for Longman 2016-18 and since the 2018 by-election, was a teacher's aide and an organiser with the
trade union United Voice before her election.
The LNP candidate in 2019 will be Terry Young, a small businessman.
The Greens candidate will be Simone Dejun, a lawyer in the telecommunications industry. One Nation's candidate is
Matthew Thomson, whose occupation is not stated.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,256 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 17.0% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 3.7% (Australia 2.8%)
Australian born: 76.1% (Australia 66.7%)
Non-English-speaking households: 7.3% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 19.3% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 31.3% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 9.3% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 21.8% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: 3.1% (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 35.7% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 32.8% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 32.4% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Malcolm Brough (Lib) 1996-2007
Jon Sullivan (ALP) 2007-10
Hon Wyatt Roy (Lib) 2010-16
Susan Lamb (ALP) 2016-18, 2018by-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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