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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Lingiari, Northern Territory
Outback Northern Territory: Alice Springs, Humpty Doo, Katherine, Nhulunbuy, Tennant Creek
Territory seats: All of
Araluen,
Barkly,
Braitling,
Daly,
Katherine,
Namatjira,
Nelson,
Nhulunbuy and
Stuart,
parts of
Brennan
Local government areas: All of Alice Springs, Arafura, Arnhem, Barkly, Belyuen, Coomalie, East Arnhem, Katherine, Macdonnell,
Roper Gulf, Tiwi Islands, Victoria-Daly, West Arnhem and West Daly, parts of Palmerston
Enrolment at close of rolls: 69,994
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 54.5
Sitting member: Hon Warren Snowdon (Labor):
Elected (Northern Territory) 1987, 1990, 1993. Defeated 1996. Elected 1998, (Lingiari) 2001, 2004, 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016
2007 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 11.2%
2010 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 3.7%
2013 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 0.9%
2016 Labor majority over Country Liberal: 8.4%
2019 notional Labor majority over Country Liberal: 8.1%
Status: Fairly safe Labor
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
 |
 |
 |
 |
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1. Hon Warren Snowdon
Australian Labor Party |
2. George Hanna
Australian Greens |
3. Daniel Hodgson
United Australia Party |
4. Regina McCarthy
Rise Up Australia |
5. Hamish MacFarlane
Independent |
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6. Jacinta Price
Country Liberal Party |
Candidate websites:
Jacinta Nampijinpa Price
Hon Warren Snowdon
Division of Lingiari
Lingiari was created 2001 when the old seat of Northern Territory was divided in two. It covers the whole of the Northern
Territory except the city of Darwin. Despite its large Indigenous population, it has an above-average median income level, mainly
due to the high wages paid in the mining industry. It also has very low proportion of university graduates and of people in professional
occupations. It also has a very young population, with the lowest proportion of
over-65s of any electorate, reflecting the high birth-rate and lower life expectancy of its Indigenous population.
The dominant political fact in Lingiari is that it has the largest Indigenous population (41.7%) of any federal electorate,
and that until recently Indigenous voters voted almost unanimously Labor, although they have a lower turnout than
white voters. This meant that Labor needed only about 35% of the white vote in Lingiari to win the seat, and Warren
Snowdon, who has represented outback NT for 30 years, has enough appeal to white voters to be able to get at least
that.
In recent years, however, Labor's support among Indigenous voters has fluctuated, as was shown most spectacularly at the
2012 NT election. This partly explains the swings against Snowdon in 2010 and 2013. Labor still wins most of the remote
mobile booths, polling over 70% of the two-party vote in some of them. The Country Liberals win most of the white-majority
town booths, although Nhulunbuy is solid for Labor.
Warren Snowdon, MP for Northern Territory 1987-96 and 1998-2001 and for Lingiari since 2001, was a Parliamentary Secretary
in the Keating Government and a minister in the Rudd-Gillard Government. Now 68, he is the longest-serving member of the
current Labor Caucus.* Before entering politics, he was a teacher and senior project officer with the Central Land Council
in Alice Springs.
In 2013 Snowdon won with a two-party majority of 0.9%, but in 2016 he bounced back with a 7.5% swing to Labor. Snowdon has
said he will run again in 2019. His CLP opponent is Jacinta Nampijinpa Price, an Alice Springs town
councillor and daughter of former Territory minister Bess Price. Given that Snowdon's majority rests largely on the
support of Indigenous voters, Price may pose a serious challenge, although Snowdon has defeated an Indigenous candidate
before. The Greens candidate is George Hanna.
* But because he was out of Parliament between 1996 and 1998, he is not officially the longest-serving member.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,705 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 6.7% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 41.7% (Australia 2.8%)
Non-English-speaking households: 24.5% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 17.5% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 25.9% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 11.4% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 31.4% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 17.7% (Australia 22.9%)
Employed in agriculture: 4.8% (Australia 3.3%)
Paying a mortgage: 25.3% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 52.9% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 39.5% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Warren Snowdon (ALP) 2001-
Boundaries following 2018 redistribution:
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