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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2019
Division of Lindsay, New South Wales
Outer western Sydney: Emu Plains, Glenmore Park, Penrith, St Marys, Werrington
State seats: Parts of
Londonderry,
Mount Druitt and
Penrith
Local government areas: Parts of Penrith
Enrolment at close of rolls: 118,801
1999 republic referendum: No 58.9
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 56.2
Sitting member: Emma Husar (Labor):
Elected 2016. Retiring 2019
2007 Labor majority over Liberal: 6.8%
2010 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.1%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 3.0%
2016 Labor majority over Liberal: 1.1%
Status: Very marginal Labor
Best Liberal booths, two-party vote: Berkshire park (75.1), Mulgoa (74.5), Orchard Hills (71.4),
Castlereagh (69.7), Londonderry (62.2)
Best Labor booths, two-party vote: St Marys North (64.2), St Marys (64.1), Colyton (61.0), Kingswood South (61.0),
Penrith (60.6)
2016 results
Statistics and history
Candidates in ballot-paper order:
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1. Brandon Lees
Fraser Anning's Conservative
National Party |
2. Hon Diane Beamer
Australian Labor Party |
3. Melissa McIntosh
Liberal Party |
4. Dr Nick Best
Australian Greens |
5. Christopher Buttell
United Australia Party |
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6. Mark Tyndall
Independent |
7. Geoff Browwn
Sustainable Australia |
8. Mark Moody-Basedow
Christian Democratic Party |
9. Dr Jim Saleam
Australia First Party |
Candidate websites:
Hon Diane Beamer
Dr Nick Best
Melissa McIntosh
Division of Lindsay
Lindsay was created in 1984, taking in a stretch of Sydney's outer western suburbs based on Penrith. The seat was
one of the most commonly associated with the "Howard battlers": upwardly-mobile skilled workers and contractors
with aspirations to join the middle class. The presence of this class in Lindsay can be seen in the relatively
high level of median family income, compared with the very low proportion of people in professional occupations.
Lindsay is also a mortgage belt seat, with high proportions of families with dependent children and of dwellings
being purchased.
The seat includes the Labor stronghold of St Marys at its eastern end, and Labor also polls well in central
Penrith. But the best of suburbs around Penrith, such as Emu Heights, Glenmore Park and York, generally vote
Liberal. This makes the seat a finely-balanced marginal which is hotly contested at every election.
Lindsay was held by Labor's Ross Free, a junior minister in the Keating government, until the 1996 Liberal
landslide, when he was defeated by Jackie Kelly, a favourite of John Howard and a junior minister in his
government. When she abruptly retired in 2007, and her successor's husband was involved in a scandal involving
bogus election leaflets, Labor's David Bradbury won the seat with a 12% swing. He was a minister in the
Rudd-Gillard government, and was narrowly re-elected in 2010, but in 2013 he was defeated by Fiona Scott. Scott
was in turn defeated by Labor's Emma Husar in 2016, as part of Labor's strong showing in western Sydney.
Emma Husar, Labor MP for Lindsay since 2016, was a fundraising and events manager, and a Penrith City Councillor,
before entering politics. During 2018 she was the subject of a series of allegations of personal misconduct, which
she strongly denied. In July she took personal leave, and in August announced that she would not recontest the seat in
2019.
After a long delay, Labor chose former state MP and minister Diane Beamer as its candidate. The Liberal candidate,
Melissa McIntosh, a community housing executive. The Greens candidate is Dr Nick Best, who teaches science at Western
Sydney University.
Demographics:
Median weekly household income: $1,612 (Australia $1,438)
People over 65: 12.1% (Australia 15.8%)
Indigenous: 4.2% (Australia 2.8%)
Non-English-speaking households: 19.6% (Australia 22.2%)
Catholics 30.9% (Australia 22.6%)
No religion 21.8% (Australia 29.6%)
University graduates: 13.5% (Australia 22.0%)
Professional and managerial employment: 25.4% (Australia 35.2%)
Employed in manufacturing and construction: 28.9% (Australia 22.9%)
Paying a mortgage: 39.3% (Australia 34.5%)
Renting: 32.2% (Australia 30.9%)
Traditional families: 38.3% (Australia 32.8%)
Members:
Hon Ross Free (ALP) 1984-96
Hon Jackie Kelly (Lib) 1996, 1996b-2007
Hon David Bradbury (ALP) 2007-13
Fiona Scott (Lib) 2013-16
Emma Husar (ALP) 2016-19
Boundaries following 2016 redistribution:
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